Federal Power Act News

DOE Orders PJM to Keep Eddystone Units Online Until Nov. 26

11 months ago

Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?

Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

59.06%chance

9213274

OptionVotes

YES

1201

833

What will the next world-wide crisis be?

Nov 18, 2:28 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

497048

OptionProbability

Nothing Ever Happens (Nothing Happens)

Direct military engagement between either G20 members, or the use of nuclear weapons

An AI kills a human without explicitly being given a task

Other (10m+ deaths)

Worldwide Pandemic

350+ million climate-displaced persons annually

US Treasury payment default or missed obligation

Will Alberta leave Canada?

Dec 24, 1:31 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

114896

OptionProbability

Won’t leave before 2030

2029

2025

2026

2027

2028

Trump orders active duty military to NYC by end of 2026?

Nov 5, 11:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.29%chance

124453

OptionVotes

YES

2803

357

Will Trump declare federal Martial Law in the US before 2029 (given a 2025 presidency)?

Feb 4, 10:45 PMFeb 1, 10:59 AM

36.27%chance

423382

OptionVotes

YES

211

137

Will the US undergo a major political crisis before 2027

Jul 4, 6:28 AMJan 11, 7:59 AM

54.41%chance

15571

OptionVotes

YES

109

Will the US withdraw military support from Israel before 2030?

Nov 15, 1:59 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

15.63%chance

14332

OptionVotes

YES

459

324

Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?

Feb 1, 11:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5331

OptionProbability

Miscellaneous Savings Initiatives

Cutting Wasteful Spending at the Department of Defense (DoD)

Cutting Waste, Fraud, and Abuse in Federal Healthcare Programs

Improving Efficiency Across Federal Agencies

Targeting Tax Loopholes and Inefficiencies

Will there be a military draft in the United States during Trump's second term, authorized by Congress?

Mar 13, 11:09 PMJan 20, 11:59 AM

6.33%chance

5211

OptionVotes

YES

1013

788

Will there be a major new AI regulation bill signed in the U.S. before September 30, 2026?

Aug 4, 3:15 AMSep 29, 11:59 PM

11.68%chance

7178

OptionVotes

YES

275

Prediction markets legalized in India by 2035?

Dec 22, 7:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.99%chance

7157

OptionVotes

YES

153

What will happen to the Marineland Beluga whales?

Oct 14, 1:41 PMOct 15, 1:29 PM

215

OptionProbability

Euthanized

Moved to a sanctuary

Introduced to the wild

Sold/given to a park

Federal Power Act News

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Prediction markets for Federal Power Act

Prediction markets for Federal Power Act

Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?

What will the next world-wide crisis be?

Will Alberta leave Canada?

Trump orders active duty military to NYC by end of 2026?

Will Trump declare federal Martial Law in the US before 2029 (given a 2025 presidency)?

Will the US undergo a major political crisis before 2027

Will the US withdraw military support from Israel before 2030?

Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?

Will there be a military draft in the United States during Trump's second term, authorized by Congress?

Will there be a major new AI regulation bill signed in the U.S. before September 30, 2026?

Prediction markets legalized in India by 2035?

What will happen to the Marineland Beluga whales?

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