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Prediction markets for Feeling Great

Can I be trusted to buy and sell trading cards?

Oct 30, 10:47 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

96.45%chance

194936

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1168

927

Will I find AI to negatively impact my job opportunities as a coder by 2032?

Dec 26, 10:37 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

90.88%chance

774122

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3322

444

Will Manifold help me secure 1:1 tutoring students I love working with by EOY 2025?

Dec 1, 3:21 AMMar 1, 11:59 PM

16.12%chance

112352

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2281

438

When do I next become fully employed?

Aug 27, 6:46 PMJan 1, 7:25 PM

32123

OptionProbability

Q2 2026

Q3 2026

Q1 2026

Q4 2026

>=2027

September 2025

October 2025

November 2025

December 2025

23

20

19

17

17

1

1

1

1

Will Trump and Mamdani openly feud before February 21?

Nov 22, 12:58 AMFeb 20, 11:59 PM

67.74%chance

261949

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1449

690

What will these chonky bois become?

Nov 1, 10:25 PMMar 1, 7:59 AM

12825

OptionProbability

Pie

Soup (or stew)

Roasted slices

Roasted seeds

Cookies

Sauce

Fried sides

Bread

Skewers

Rotten or spoiled

Stir fry

Chunks in a mixed veg bake

Grilled hunks

Muffins

Smashed and ruined, by accident or mischief

Stolen

100

100

100

100

100

72

59

58

55

53

50

41

41

40

32

11

After the 2026 midterms, will I feel like US culture has trended towards greater wokeness in the 2 years prior?

Jan 3, 8:19 AMNov 5, 7:59 AM

34.05%chance

10810

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1392

718

Will a dust storm pick up material from the Great Salt Lake and cause significant health concerns by 2030?

Mar 19, 1:06 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

34.34%chance

8244

OptionVotes

YES

NO

212

203

Where will the first large human space colony be located? (population>1000)

Jan 7, 2:12 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

1196

OptionProbability

Moon

Orbit around Earth

Other

Mars

52

29

12

8

bounty: make my dating life more interesting

Jun 17, 12:20 AM

00

What should I read next? Up to 15,000 mana for a book I end up loving!

Jan 12, 7:37 PM

00

Would you enter the Experience Machine

Apr 3, 12:31 AM

230

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