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Prediction markets for Fifth

Will the fifth major model iteration of OpenAI contain the string "GPT-5" in its name (API)?

Jun 20, 4:24 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

93.31%chance

227035

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2202

831

Will the fifth Busy Beaver still be thought to be proven to be 47,176,870 at the end of 2025?

Jul 4, 1:30 AMDec 16, 7:59 AM

97.98%chance

146007

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6967

144

Will Qatar bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jun 10, 12:18 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

52.77%chance

541909

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1141

1067

Will we discover a fifth fundamental force before 2050?

Dec 6, 9:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.35%chance

27529

OptionVotes

NO

YES

991

989

Will a Fifth European country make it legal to pay blood plasma donors before EOY 2027?

Dec 8, 1:43 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

73.99%chance

15419

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1113

945

Will Chile bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?

Jul 2, 9:28 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

24.56%chance

4134

OptionVotes

YES

NO

161

82

Will Brazil bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jul 2, 9:16 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

67.56%chance

485

OptionVotes

NO

YES

119

71

Will Peru bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Jul 2, 9:21 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

58.02%chance

565

OptionVotes

NO

YES

232

173

Will the UAE bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jun 10, 12:27 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

76.42%chance

240

OptionVotes

NO

YES

90

28

Will Egypt bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Jun 7, 7:50 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

56.6%chance

537

OptionVotes

NO

YES

127

95

Will Qatar bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Jun 10, 12:19 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

59.76%chance

222

OptionVotes

NO

YES

81

61

Will Egypt bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jun 7, 7:48 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

49.85%chance

310

OptionVotes

NO

YES

51

51

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