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Prediction markets for Fifth

Will Qatar bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jun 10, 12:18 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

57.61%chance

552029

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1261

970

Will a Fifth European country make it legal to pay blood plasma donors before EOY 2027?

Dec 8, 1:43 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

58.4%chance

191007

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1162

675

Will we discover a fifth fundamental force before 2050?

Dec 6, 9:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.35%chance

27529

OptionVotes

NO

YES

991

989

When will the fifth bitcoin halving occur?

Apr 20, 12:25 AMAug 27, 4:59 AM

5326

OptionProbability

After 2028-01-01 00:00:00 UTC

After 2028-02-19 00:00:00 UTC

After 2028-04-19 00:00:00 UTC

After 2028-06-19 00:00:00 UTC

89

63

43

17

Which country will be the first confirmed export customer of the Russian Su-57 Felon fifth-generation fighter jet?

Nov 20, 7:21 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

5285

OptionProbability

Algeria

Iran

India

Other

None before 2030

North Korea

China

Indonesia

Belarus

Vietnam

Turkey

Egypt

87

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

Will Ukraine bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jul 1, 5:15 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

50.98%chance

9206

OptionVotes

NO

YES

172

119

Will Ukraine bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?

Jul 1, 5:15 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

35.76%chance

11140

OptionVotes

YES

NO

173

98

Will Ukraine bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Jul 1, 5:16 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

74.66%chance

472

OptionVotes

NO

YES

177

74

Will Morocco bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?

Aug 3, 10:47 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

62.63%chance

659

OptionVotes

NO

YES

150

75

Will Algeria bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Aug 3, 10:11 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

53.67%chance

327

OptionVotes

NO

YES

97

83

Will Guyana bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jan 14, 8:08 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

50%chance

120

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will Indonesia bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jun 5, 7:39 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

51.96%chance

12

OptionVotes

NO

YES

72

68

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