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Prediction markets for Fifth

Will Qatar bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jun 10, 12:18 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

57.61%chance

552029

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1261

970

Will a Fifth European country make it legal to pay blood plasma donors before EOY 2027?

Dec 8, 1:43 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

62%chance

17941

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1112

751

Will we discover a fifth fundamental force before 2050?

Dec 6, 9:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.35%chance

27529

OptionVotes

NO

YES

991

989

Which country will be the first confirmed export customer of the Russian Su-57 Felon fifth-generation fighter jet?

Nov 20, 7:21 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

5285

OptionProbability

Algeria

Iran

India

Other

None before 2030

North Korea

China

Indonesia

Belarus

Vietnam

Turkey

Egypt

87

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

Will Sweden bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jun 30, 8:32 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

55.91%chance

495

OptionVotes

NO

YES

69

69

Will France bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Jun 30, 8:47 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

81.35%chance

494

OptionVotes

NO

YES

204

71

Will Vietnam bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jun 5, 7:48 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

17.65%chance

280

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

34

Will North Korea bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?

Jun 6, 1:46 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

22.66%chance

460

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

47

Will South Africa bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Aug 3, 9:53 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

70.67%chance

344

OptionVotes

NO

YES

134

63

Will the UAE bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jun 10, 12:27 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

76.42%chance

240

OptionVotes

NO

YES

90

28

Will South Africa bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Aug 3, 9:53 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

61.73%chance

439

OptionVotes

NO

YES

137

89

Will Sweden bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Jun 30, 8:32 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

66.29%chance

227

OptionVotes

NO

YES

96

52

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