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Prediction markets for Fifth

Will the fifth Busy Beaver still be thought to be proven to be 47,176,870 at the end of 2025?

Jul 4, 1:30 AMDec 16, 7:59 AM

97.98%chance

146007

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6967

144

Which company will be the fifth to reach $3T valuation?

Aug 29, 6:03 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

182019

OptionProbability

Amazon

Broadcom

Facebook

TSMC

Saudi Aramco

Other

Berkshire Hathaway

Google

Eli Lilly

76

8

6

4

3

3

1

0

0

Will Qatar bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jun 10, 12:18 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

52.77%chance

541909

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1141

1067

Will we discover a fifth fundamental force before 2050?

Dec 6, 9:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.35%chance

27529

OptionVotes

NO

YES

991

989

Will a Fifth European country make it legal to pay blood plasma donors before EOY 2027?

Dec 8, 1:43 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

73.99%chance

15419

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1113

945

Will France bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Jun 30, 8:47 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

81.35%chance

494

OptionVotes

NO

YES

204

71

Will Ukraine bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Jul 1, 5:16 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

74.66%chance

472

OptionVotes

NO

YES

177

74

Will Sweden bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?

Jun 30, 8:31 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

57%chance

371

OptionVotes

NO

YES

106

73

Will Egypt bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Jun 7, 7:50 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

56.6%chance

537

OptionVotes

NO

YES

127

95

Will Ethiopia bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Aug 3, 10:03 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

57.63%chance

230

OptionVotes

NO

YES

94

86

Will Qatar bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Jun 10, 12:19 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

59.76%chance

222

OptionVotes

NO

YES

81

61

Will Guyana bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jan 14, 8:08 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

50%chance

120

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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