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Prediction markets for Fifth

Which company will be the fifth to reach $3T valuation?

Aug 29, 6:03 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

203842

OptionProbability

Amazon

TSMC

SpaceX

Broadcom

Other

Google

Saudi Aramco

Facebook

Berkshire Hathaway

Eli Lilly

68

14

13

3

1

0

0

0

0

0

Will Qatar bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jun 10, 12:18 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

57.61%chance

552029

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1261

970

Will a Fifth European country make it legal to pay blood plasma donors before EOY 2027?

Dec 8, 1:43 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

62%chance

17941

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1112

751

Will we discover a fifth fundamental force before 2050?

Dec 6, 9:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.35%chance

27529

OptionVotes

NO

YES

991

989

How many pages will the fifth volume of Robert Caro's "The Years of Lyndon Johnson" have?

Feb 27, 2:56 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

6320

OptionProbability

Above 300

Above 600

Above 900

Above 1200

Above 1500

Above 2000

Above 2500

96

91

75

57

36

26

20

Will France bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Jun 30, 8:47 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

81.35%chance

494

OptionVotes

NO

YES

204

71

Will Brazil bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jul 2, 9:16 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

67.56%chance

587

OptionVotes

NO

YES

119

71

Will North Korea bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?

Jun 6, 1:46 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

22.66%chance

460

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

47

Will Spain bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?

Jun 30, 8:58 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

55.85%chance

345

OptionVotes

NO

YES

128

91

Will the UAE bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jun 10, 12:27 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

76.42%chance

240

OptionVotes

NO

YES

90

28

Will Sweden bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Jun 30, 8:32 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

66.29%chance

227

OptionVotes

NO

YES

96

52

Will Peru bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jul 2, 9:21 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

38%chance

321

OptionVotes

YES

NO

106

78

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