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Prediction markets for Fifth

Will Qatar bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jun 10, 12:18 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

52.77%chance

541909

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1141

1067

Will we discover a fifth fundamental force before 2050?

Dec 6, 9:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.35%chance

27529

OptionVotes

NO

YES

991

989

Will a Fifth European country make it legal to pay blood plasma donors before EOY 2027?

Dec 8, 1:43 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

73.99%chance

15419

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1113

945

How many pages will the fifth volume of Robert Caro's "The Years of Lyndon Johnson" have?

Feb 27, 2:56 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

6320

OptionProbability

Above 300

Above 600

Above 900

Above 1200

Above 1500

Above 2000

Above 2500

96

91

75

57

36

26

20

Will Chile bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?

Jul 2, 9:28 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

24.56%chance

4134

OptionVotes

YES

NO

161

82

Will France bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Jun 30, 8:47 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

81.35%chance

494

OptionVotes

NO

YES

204

71

Will Ukraine bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Jul 1, 5:16 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

74.66%chance

472

OptionVotes

NO

YES

177

74

Will North Korea bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?

Jun 6, 1:46 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

22.66%chance

460

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

47

Will Ethiopia bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Aug 3, 10:03 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

57.63%chance

230

OptionVotes

NO

YES

94

86

Will Qatar bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Jun 10, 12:19 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

59.76%chance

222

OptionVotes

NO

YES

81

61

Will Guyana bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jan 14, 8:08 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

50%chance

120

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will Vietnam bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?

Jun 5, 7:48 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

38.3%chance

215

OptionVotes

YES

NO

85

58

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