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Prediction markets for Files

[ACX 2026] Will OpenAI file for an IPO during 2026?

Jan 6, 11:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.52%chance

9952878

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9485

3955

Complete Epstein files released before GTA 6 launch?

Nov 7, 12:40 PMJan 1, 11:59 AM

29.79%chance

378705

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1539

653

Will Sam Altman file a case against anthropic in next 3 months?

May 9, 11:26 PMAug 9, 11:25 PM

4.18%chance

155371

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4789

209

Is "jerky" a reference to human meat in Epstein files?

Feb 15, 6:14 AMDec 31, 6:12 AM

13.57%chance

205210

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2524

396

Has anyone from the Epstein files who communicated with him directly (or Epstein himself) engaged in cannibalism?

Feb 15, 6:30 AMDec 31, 6:29 AM

19.3%chance

455119

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2045

489

Will one of the “Big Three” automakers (GM/Ford/Stellantis) file for bankruptcy before 2027?

Jul 31, 11:02 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

18.21%chance

353253

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2022

564

Will there be arrests over the Epstein files in the US?

Feb 8, 9:05 PMFeb 7, 11:59 PM

25.55%chance

312874

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1707

586

Has anyone from the Epstein files who communicated with him directly (or Epstein himself) engaged in vampirism?

Feb 15, 7:05 AMDec 31, 6:59 AM

21.1%chance

182577

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1933

517

Will nearly all of the Epstein files be released before 2027?

Nov 15, 9:07 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

24.87%chance

371707

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1722

801

Which celebrities/public figures will serve prison time as a result of evidence from either Epstein or Diddy files?

Jan 9, 8:42 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

121207

OptionProbability

At least one person who has won an Emmy

At least one person who has won a Grammy

None

At least one house representative.

At least one senator.

At least one governor.

17

17

15

10

10

7

Will Anthropic file a therapeutic patent before July 2029?

Jun 30, 5:37 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

71.32%chance

111132

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1577

634

Will filing taxes in the US be substantially easier in 2028 than 2023?

Apr 19, 1:06 AMApr 17, 6:59 AM

59.61%chance

161034

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1034

928

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