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Prediction markets for Final Mile

When will I first be able to read a book while driving a private car?

Mar 21, 9:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

254002

OptionProbability

2027

2028

2029

2030

2026

2031+

2025

23

23

17

13

12

11

1

What quarter will Tesla allow me to drive from San Mateo to Palo Alto in my Model Y mostly at SAE 3+?

Nov 29, 6:12 PMApr 2, 6:59 AM

101744

OptionProbability

April 1 2027, Later, or never

Q4 2026

Q1 2027

Q3 2024

Q4 2024

Q1 2025

Q2 2025

Q3 2025

Q4 2025

Q1 2026

Q2 2026

Q3 2026

Q2 2024

2023

Q1 2024

72

5

4

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

1

1

What Year will Tesla allow me to drive from San Mateo to Palo Alto in my Model Y mostly at SAE 3+?

Nov 29, 6:35 PMApr 2, 6:59 AM

71622

OptionProbability

2027

2028

2026

Later or never

2029

2025

2024

2023

36

32

19

5

4

2

1

0

What will be my fastest mile this track season

Mar 5, 7:02 AMJun 2, 11:59 PM

4650

OptionProbability

Sub 5:45

Sub 6:00

Sub 5:40

Sub 5:35

Sub 5:30

Sub 5:15

100

100

100

89

72

23

Will there be a new TRIUMPH OF THE WILL -like film centered on MAGA/Trump by EOY2028?

Jan 20, 9:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.87%chance

332

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

87

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