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Prediction markets for Final Resolution

Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?

Jun 8, 6:16 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM

5.72%chance

602539626

OptionVotes

YES

NO

43878

17659

If Trump were elected in 2024, will Trump attempt to run for a third term in 2028 or 2032?

Jan 24, 4:35 AMNov 8, 6:32 AM

17.35%chance

401205155

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2757

1077

CATL receives license renewal for Yichun Lithium mine by end of Dec 2026?

Jun 9, 2:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

72.46%chance

22148778

OptionVotes

NO

YES

16221

6165

Will the US enact AI regulation for all Mythos+ models in 2026?

Jun 16, 6:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.63%chance

2733820

OptionVotes

YES

NO

24158

4139

[ACX 2026] Will the S&P 500 close above 7,500 at the end of 2026?

Jan 6, 11:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

77%chance

5832367

OptionVotes

NO

YES

9535

2511

Will Vic NEM 2027 annual average wholesale price exceed A$105/MWh?

May 4, 8:35 PMMay 31, 11:00 PM

11.04%chance

1029143

OptionVotes

YES

NO

42502

5063

Will Christian Affiliation in the United States Increase Over Five Years?

Apr 25, 11:16 AMDec 31, 11:47 AM

27.7%chance

9615260

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9665

3727

If Democrats win the House or Senate in 2026, will officials try to block Democratic winners from being seated?

Sep 23, 6:08 AMJan 3, 11:59 PM

51.31%chance

888943

OptionVotes

NO

YES

7515

3810

Will Vic NEM 2028 annual average wholesale price exceed A$115/MWh?

May 4, 8:35 PMMay 31, 11:00 PM

22.07%chance

67506

OptionVotes

YES

NO

17481

6562

Daily Coinflip

Sep 24, 12:00 PMSep 26, 3:59 AM

50.4%chance

7625

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10080

9921

Will the FDA publicly accept a multi-condition geroscience endpoint as sufficient to establish efficacy before 2036?

Jul 14, 11:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

57.59%chance

7575

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6240

5801

What percentage of votes will the Partito Democratico win in the upcoming general election in Italy?

Jan 19, 3:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.89%chance

3406

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10051

9986

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