OptionProbability
United Nations Relief and Works Agency (UNRWA)
Greenpeace
Alliance for Global Justice
Amnesty International
International Workers of the World (IWW)
Democratic Socialists of America (DSA)
UNICEF
Media Matters for America
Planned Parenthood
Oxfam
AFL-CIO
GiveDirectly
United Auto Workers (UAW)
Archive Of Our Own (AO3)
Southern Poverty Law Center
NAACP
League of Conservation Voters
Sierra Club
GiveWell
American Civil Liberties Union (ACLU)
OpenAI
The United Methodist Church (UMC)
Against Malaria Foundation (AMF)
85
52
50
47
45
43
41
37
34
31
28
26
16
15
OptionVotes
NO
YES
1720
680
Deal with minimal concessions
Unyielding Islamic Regime
Deal with major concessions
Balkanization/long civil war
Military coup (Artesh)
Popular takeover
Venezuela-style puppet state
Voluntary transition of power
36
8
6
3
1
1766
566
143
70
188
53
Mass immigration
Drug decriminalization
Gun ban
Marijuana legalization
48
27