OptionProbability
United Nations Relief and Works Agency (UNRWA)
Alliance for Global Justice
Amnesty International
International Workers of the World (IWW)
Democratic Socialists of America (DSA)
UNICEF
Media Matters for America
Greenpeace
Planned Parenthood
Oxfam
AFL-CIO
GiveDirectly
NAACP
League of Conservation Voters
Sierra Club
The United Methodist Church (UMC)
United Auto Workers (UAW)
Archive Of Our Own (AO3)
Southern Poverty Law Center
OpenAI
GiveWell
American Civil Liberties Union (ACLU)
Against Malaria Foundation (AMF)
85
50
48
47
45
43
41
40
39
37
34
33
28
26
15
OptionVotes
NO
YES
1720
680
Unyielding Islamic Regime
Deal with minimal concessions
Deal with major concessions
Military coup (Artesh)
Popular takeover
Balkanization/long civil war
Venezuela-style puppet state
Voluntary transition of power
35
4
3
2
1
1766
566
328
30
188
53
Mass immigration
Drug decriminalization
Gun ban
Marijuana legalization
27
16