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Firewall News
Prediction markets for Firewall
Prediction markets for Firewall
Will the US restrict access outside the US to some APIs to generative AI before 2026?
May 16, 3:19 PM
Dec 31, 8:00 PM
9.35%
chance
17
2280
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3094
404
Will any country block themselves from the internet before 2027?
Oct 16, 1:30 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
86.55%
chance
16
2025
Option
Votes
NO
YES
2439
434
German "Brandmauer" (AfD collaboration ban) falls before EOY 2026? (official coalition)
Oct 27, 10:27 PM
Dec 30, 11:59 PM
10.74%
chance
10
1250
Option
Votes
YES
NO
288
35
Will any tier-1 city in China have a region which bypasses the great firewall by 2026?
Jan 24, 3:34 AM
Dec 31, 3:59 PM
8.99%
chance
9
265
Option
Votes
YES
NO
318
31
Will China ease or dismantle major aspects of the Great Firewall’s censorship by the end of 2025?
Aug 25, 6:13 PM
Dec 30, 11:59 PM
9.16%
chance
8
215
Option
Votes
YES
NO
315
32
Will Kaeberlein, Sinclair, Jose Luis Ricon, Zhavoronkov, Lada Nuzhna, Bryan Johnson, Guerente all DnD campaign by 2035?
Dec 3, 4:22 PM
1
0
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