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Prediction markets for Firewall

Will any country block themselves from the internet before 2027?

Oct 16, 1:30 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

86.55%chance

162025

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2439

434

German "Brandmauer" (AfD collaboration ban) falls before EOY 2026? (official coalition)

Oct 27, 10:27 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

12.34%chance

131360

OptionVotes

YES

NO

266

38

When will the Iranian protests end?

Jan 15, 9:56 PMFeb 17, 2:59 AM

9353

OptionProbability

Before January 1, 2027

Before April 1, 2026

Before July 1, 2026

Before March 1, 2026

Before February 15, 2026

Before February 1, 2026

89

85

85

71

43

21

Will Kaeberlein, Sinclair, Jose Luis Ricon, Zhavoronkov, Lada Nuzhna, Bryan Johnson, Guerente all DnD campaign by 2035?

Dec 3, 4:22 PM

10

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