FIRM Act News

Will any country officially ban or heavily restrict the use of advanced AI systems before January 1, 2027

Mar 19, 4:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.96%chance

131199

OptionVotes

YES

1689

592

Will Bernie's 50% AI tax pass?

Jun 3, 5:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.7%chance

4426

OptionVotes

YES

510

Will any country enact a robot or automation tax by the end of 2027?

Feb 23, 2:14 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

46.8%chance

8337

OptionVotes

YES

115

Will any US state enact and use a general wage board by 2030?

Feb 10, 6:46 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

9.66%chance

4201

OptionVotes

YES

269

US ends citizenship-based taxation by 2030?

Nov 2, 12:56 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

26.83%chance

485

OptionVotes

YES

165

Will Canada pass Bill C-22 in 2026?

May 20, 7:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

72.41%chance

573

OptionVotes

YES

162

Will the EU publish final AI Act Article 73 incident guidance by Aug 2, 2026?

May 12, 10:15 AMAug 2, 10:00 PM

51.03%chance

340

OptionVotes

YES

126

China and Somaliland Sovereignty

Jan 13, 6:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

333

OptionProbability

Somaliland recognised by less than 30 UN members in 2030 / China doesn't recognise

Somaliland recognised by more than 29 and less than 150 UN members in 2030 / China doesn't recognise

Somaliland recognised by more than 149 UN members in 2030 / China doesn't recognise

*China recognises Somaliland*

How the living conditions in the venezuela be in the future?

Jan 16, 8:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

315

OptionProbability

Better future

Worse future

Same Future

Will any country enact a robot or automation tax by the end of 2027?

Feb 23, 2:13 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5.39%chance

211

OptionVotes

YES

100

Will any country enact a robot or automation tax by the end of 2026?

Feb 23, 2:14 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3%chance

OptionVotes

YES

100

Will any country enact a robot or automation tax by the end of 2026?

Feb 23, 2:13 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3%chance

OptionVotes

YES

100

FIRM Act News

Prediction markets for FIRM Act

Prediction markets for FIRM Act

Prediction markets for FIRM Act

Will any country officially ban or heavily restrict the use of advanced AI systems before January 1, 2027

Will Bernie's 50% AI tax pass?

Will any country enact a robot or automation tax by the end of 2027?

Will any US state enact and use a general wage board by 2030?

US ends citizenship-based taxation by 2030?

Will Canada pass Bill C-22 in 2026?

Will the EU publish final AI Act Article 73 incident guidance by Aug 2, 2026?

China and Somaliland Sovereignty

How the living conditions in the venezuela be in the future?

Will any country enact a robot or automation tax by the end of 2027?

Will any country enact a robot or automation tax by the end of 2026?

Will any country enact a robot or automation tax by the end of 2026?

Latest stories