FIRM Act News

US-UK Tech Prosperity Deal reinstated during Q1 2026

Jan 3, 5:25 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

15.4%chance

10810

OptionVotes

YES

692

145

Will any country officially ban or heavily restrict the use of advanced AI systems before January 1, 2027

Mar 19, 4:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.64%chance

10746

OptionVotes

YES

1470

680

Will any country enact a robot or automation tax by the end of 2027?

Feb 23, 2:14 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.4%chance

6327

OptionVotes

YES

113

Will any US state enact and use a general wage board by 2030?

Feb 10, 6:46 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

9.66%chance

4201

OptionVotes

YES

269

US ends citizenship-based taxation by 2030?

Nov 2, 12:56 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

26.18%chance

484

OptionVotes

YES

168

China and Somaliland Sovereignty

Jan 13, 6:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

333

OptionProbability

Somaliland recognised by less than 30 UN members in 2030 / China doesn't recognise

Somaliland recognised by more than 29 and less than 150 UN members in 2030 / China doesn't recognise

Somaliland recognised by more than 149 UN members in 2030 / China doesn't recognise

*China recognises Somaliland*

How the living conditions in the venezuela be in the future?

Jan 16, 8:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

315

OptionProbability

Better future

Worse future

Same Future

Will any country enact a robot or automation tax by the end of 2027?

Feb 23, 2:13 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5.39%chance

211

OptionVotes

YES

100

Will any country enact a robot or automation tax by the end of 2026?

Feb 23, 2:14 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3%chance

OptionVotes

YES

100

Will any country enact a robot or automation tax by the end of 2026?

Feb 23, 2:13 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3%chance

OptionVotes

YES

100

FIRM Act News

Prediction markets for FIRM Act

Prediction markets for FIRM Act

Prediction markets for FIRM Act

US-UK Tech Prosperity Deal reinstated during Q1 2026

Will any country officially ban or heavily restrict the use of advanced AI systems before January 1, 2027

Will any country enact a robot or automation tax by the end of 2027?

Will any US state enact and use a general wage board by 2030?

US ends citizenship-based taxation by 2030?

China and Somaliland Sovereignty

How the living conditions in the venezuela be in the future?

Will any country enact a robot or automation tax by the end of 2027?

Will any country enact a robot or automation tax by the end of 2026?

Will any country enact a robot or automation tax by the end of 2026?

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