First Amendment News
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Prediction markets for First Amendment
Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?
Oct 26, 3:24 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM
26.67%chance
774387144
OptionVotes
6340
3474
When will the first mainstream article cover facts in Sokolowski, et. al. v. Silbert, et. al. Second Amended Complaint?
Jan 5, 3:11 AMFeb 1, 4:59 AM
910486
OptionProbability
14
10
10
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
US Supreme Court upholds Colorado's conversion therapy ban in Chiles v Salazar?
Oct 7, 6:35 PMJul 31, 6:19 PM
6.8%chance
194718
OptionVotes
3703
270
Will Canada's "Online News Act" (bill C-18) be amended or repealed by 2027?
Aug 10, 3:59 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
81.31%chance
93929
OptionVotes
1134
954
Will Texas legalize split-rate property tax (and thus Land Value Tax) within 5 years?
Nov 6, 4:09 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
31.27%chance
191063
OptionVotes
1966
870
Will another US President hold office for more than 2,922 days? (through 2100)
Jul 3, 6:08 AMJan 22, 4:59 AM
43.33%chance
5398
OptionVotes
1144
874
If the Take It Down Act becomes law, will it be used against satirists or journalists?
Mar 17, 4:13 PMMay 21, 6:59 AM
50.46%chance
8375
OptionVotes
1009
991
Press Freedom: will SCOTUS make it easier for politicians to sue media for defamation?
Aug 13, 5:01 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
5335
OptionProbability
50
37
Will Lil Nas X (Montero Lamar Hill) be convicted on any of his August 2025 charges?
Aug 26, 12:50 PMApr 13, 10:59 PM
59.33%chance
5287
OptionVotes
481
101
OptionVotes
233
81
Constitutional Amendment initiated during Prabowo's First Term as President of Indonesia
Mar 11, 10:35 AMOct 31, 12:00 AM
63.64%chance
3130
OptionVotes
132
76
Italy: Will Parliament curb prosecutors' judicial police powers by EOY 2029? (unconditional)
Mar 12, 8:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
32.23%chance
345
OptionVotes
145
69