First Amendment News

Trump Says He Backs FCC Revoking ABC, NBC Licenses

1 year ago

Klobuchar Presses Congress for NO FAKES Act After Viral Deepfake

US Legislation

Policy

Politics

Klobuchar Presses Congress for NO FAKES Act After Viral Deepfake

1 year ago

4chan and Kiwi Farms Sue UK Regulator Ofcom in U.S. Court Over Online Safety Act, Age Verification Law and Threats of Fines

Britain

US Judiciary

Policy

4chan and Kiwi Farms Sue UK Regulator Ofcom in U.S. Court Over Online Safety Act, Age Verification Law and Threats of Fines

1 year ago

Executive Orders

US Judiciary

Politics

Trump Order Targeting Flag Burning Tests First-Amendment Limits

1 year ago

Education

Florida

Culture

Florida Parent Says Teacher Branded Son ‘Dictator’ as State Raps School Board

1 year ago

US Domestic Policy

Politics

Trump Administration Tells USCIS to Screen Immigrants for ‘Anti-American’ Views

1 year ago

US Judiciary

Politics

Culture

Fifth Circuit Reverses West Texas A&M Ban on LGBTQ Charity Drag Show, Citing First Amendment; Judge Southwick Majority, Judge Ho Dissent

1 year ago

US Judiciary

Policy

Politics

Supreme Court Lets Mississippi Enforce Social-Media Age Verification Law for Now

1 year ago

Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?

Oct 26, 3:24 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

26.4%chance

784395091

OptionVotes

YES

6391

3455

What will happen during Trump's second term?

Nov 8, 3:31 AMJan 22, 4:59 AM

8911058

OptionProbability

RFK Jr. gets cabinet position or position in any public health department

Flag desecration prohibition passed

Any vaccines banned for any group of people

J6er pardoned

Sports team invited to the white house

A member of Congress is censured or expelled

The democrats take control of the house of representatives

Mass Deportations

A major insider trading scandal linked to the US executive branch

Significant Rogue AI Incident

Trump is impeached

Prohibiting or restricting transgender care for adults

AGI achieved

Coup attempt in the United States

Joe Exotic is released from prison

Drone strike in Mexico by US

350 million people or more die, according to expert estimates

It ends with JD Vance becoming president

US punitive expedition in Mexico

Starlink satellites damaged by US adversary

100k humanoid robots manufactured

A human walks on the Moon

China invades Taiwan

Largest solar flare since Carrington Event

The Senate eliminates the filibuster

Nuclear weapon detonation

Room temperature superconductor discovered

Elon Musk is arrested for treason

Supreme Court packing

Any part of Greenland becomes de facto US territory (excludes military bases)

US military intervention on Canadian territory

22nd amendment repealed or interpreted to only apply to consecutive terms

Eagles three-peat

Tulsi Gabbard is arrested for treason

Donald Trump reelected President

End Russo-Ukranian war in 90 days

100

Will Canada's "Online News Act" (bill C-18) be amended or repealed by 2027?

Aug 10, 3:59 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

81.31%chance

93929

OptionVotes

YES

1134

954

Will Texas legalize split-rate property tax (and thus Land Value Tax) within 5 years?

Nov 6, 4:09 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

31.27%chance

191063

OptionVotes

YES

1966

870

Will another US President hold office for more than 2,922 days? (through 2100)

Jul 3, 6:08 AMJan 22, 4:59 AM

43.33%chance

5398

OptionVotes

YES

1144

874

If the Take It Down Act becomes law, will it be used against satirists or journalists?

Mar 17, 4:13 PMMay 21, 6:59 AM

50.46%chance

8375

OptionVotes

YES

1009

991

Will any AI model released before 2028 reach an Epoch general ECI of at least 200?

Aug 8, 7:13 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

23.83%chance

3350

OptionVotes

YES

6348

4666

USA and Russia back to bilateral trading in 2026?

Jan 6, 11:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.48%chance

7231

OptionVotes

YES

163

Constitutional Amendment initiated during Prabowo's First Term as President of Indonesia

Mar 11, 10:35 AMOct 31, 12:00 AM

63.64%chance

3130

OptionVotes

YES

132

Italy: Will Parliament curb prosecutors' judicial police powers by EOY 2029? (unconditional)

Mar 12, 8:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.23%chance

345

OptionVotes

YES

145

What will the US labor force participation rate be for December 2027?

Aug 8, 7:10 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

72.95%chance

125

OptionProbability

YES

1025

929

Will a Millennium Prize Problem resolution be published before 2028 and subsequently verified?

Aug 8, 7:13 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

40.67%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

1010

985

First Amendment News

Top stories

Prediction markets for First Amendment

Prediction markets for First Amendment

Prediction markets for First Amendment

Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?

What will happen during Trump's second term?

Will Canada's "Online News Act" (bill C-18) be amended or repealed by 2027?

Will Texas legalize split-rate property tax (and thus Land Value Tax) within 5 years?

Will another US President hold office for more than 2,922 days? (through 2100)

If the Take It Down Act becomes law, will it be used against satirists or journalists?

Will any AI model released before 2028 reach an Epoch general ECI of at least 200?

USA and Russia back to bilateral trading in 2026?

Constitutional Amendment initiated during Prabowo's First Term as President of Indonesia

Italy: Will Parliament curb prosecutors' judicial police powers by EOY 2029? (unconditional)

What will the US labor force participation rate be for December 2027?

Will a Millennium Prize Problem resolution be published before 2028 and subsequently verified?

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