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Prediction markets for First Step Act

First US state to secede

Jul 12, 5:58 PMDec 31, 6:32 PM

9704

OptionProbability

Other

California

Washington

Florida

Texas

New Mexico

Hawaii

Alaska

36

15

13

13

8

5

5

5

Italy: Will Parliament curb prosecutors' judicial police powers by EOY 2029? (unconditional)

Mar 12, 8:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.23%chance

345

OptionVotes

YES

NO

145

69

Will Japan intervene in currency markets before May 2026?

Mar 22, 8:09 PMApr 30, 11:59 PM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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