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Fiscal Year 2025 News

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Prediction markets for Fiscal Year 2025

Will the United States officially withdraw from NATO by March 31, 2026?

Jan 18, 12:50 PMMar 31, 8:59 PM

1%chance

3619325

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9950

101

If Trump wins, will deportation of illegal immigrants go up by 50%?

Mar 18, 1:07 PMMay 1, 6:59 AM

96.52%chance

368532

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5474

240

How many non-immigrant visas will the U.S. Issue in FY 2025

Mar 18, 2:23 AMMar 2, 4:59 AM

57734

OptionProbability

10,000,000 - 11,999,999

8,000,000 - 9,999,999

Below 4,000,000

4,000,000 - 5,999,999

6,000,000 - 7,999,999

12,000,000 - 13,999,999

14,000,000+

89

6

1

1

1

1

1

Will QS invoice a customer an amount exceeding $50 million in a single quarter during the Fiscal Year 2026.

Dec 21, 6:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.21%chance

121939

OptionVotes

YES

NO

665

15

Switch 2s sold by June 5th 2026?

May 29, 2:16 AMJun 5, 11:59 PM

81573

OptionProbability

15M - 29.9M

30M - 59.9M

60M - 99.9M

Below 15M

100M - 199.9M

200M - 300M

Above 300M

83

6

4

3

1

1

1

Will deportation of illegal immigrants go up by 50% in 2025?

Mar 18, 1:10 PMMay 1, 6:59 AM

96.41%chance

191396

OptionVotes

NO

YES

931

22

Will there be a US federal shutdown in November 2026?

Feb 4, 5:47 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

35.57%chance

3610

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1415

665

Trump gives people cash from tariffs in 2026?

Nov 20, 7:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.28%chance

11494

OptionVotes

YES

NO

182

55

Chicago declares bankruptcy by 2035?

Sep 21, 11:22 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

33.49%chance

7169

OptionVotes

YES

NO

141

71

Will we see the transit funding initiative on the ballot?

Jan 24, 5:00 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

85%chance

4152

OptionVotes

NO

YES

238

42

Will a Russian actor be publicly attributed with stealing weights from a frontier AI developer before 2030?

Oct 30, 11:42 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

50.47%chance

3107

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1059

1041

Will brazilians be better off at the end of 2026?

Jan 6, 3:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.51%chance

479

OptionVotes

YES

NO

126

79

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