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Prediction markets for Fix

Will LLM hallucinations be a fixed problem by the end of 2028?

Aug 15, 8:07 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

35.6%chance

25390981

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4280

3576

Is Nvidia a bubble? (Fixed version)

Mar 8, 7:30 PMMar 9, 4:59 AM

12.86%chance

245164

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1737

817

Who will be the next President of Russia, after Vladimir Putin? (fixed)

Sep 28, 1:42 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

212725

OptionProbability

Other

Mikhail Mishustin

Nikolai Patrushev

Dmitry Medvedev

Sergey Sobyanin

Sergei Shoigu

Aleksey Dyumin

Alexander Bortnikov

Boris Nadezhdin

Dmitry Patrushev

Sergey Kiriyenko

Alexander Lukashenko

Alexei Navalny

49

11

10

5

5

5

3

3

3

3

2

1

0

When will MTGO fix the "double pay" bug?

May 6, 2:15 AMJul 7, 2:11 AM

41952

OptionProbability

September, October, November, or December 2025

Other

May, June, July, or August 2025

January, February, or March 2026

April, May, or June 2026

76

8

6

5

4

Will the Fredie Mac US 30-year fixed-rate average drop below 5.75% before Nov 1, 2026.

May 3, 10:10 PMOct 31, 11:59 PM

10.81%chance

51876

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2872

348

Will Nestle Fix their Quality Street "Chocolates" and Import them back into Australia from UK again by Christmas 2026?

Jan 16, 8:12 AMDec 24, 11:59 PM

11.59%chance

51188

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3013

2735

Will this issue with Rust's type safety be fixed before the release of edition 2027?

Sep 12, 1:14 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

65.19%chance

131082

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1178

888

Will Manifold fix notifications in 2026?

Mar 16, 7:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.39%chance

9657

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1322

756

Fixed Income Mana Investment Opportunity!!!!

Apr 26, 9:37 AMApr 27, 6:59 AM

6541

OptionProbability

NO

YES

133

66

Which problem will be fixed first: microplastics or global warming?

Apr 2, 8:22 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

12421

OptionProbability

Global warming

Micro plastics

67

33

Will any scientist or Nobel laureate have their brain formalin-fixed after death by EOY 2030?

Feb 1, 1:18 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

31.42%chance

585

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

79

Will "NPCs" in GTA 7 have "fixed dialogue lines"?

Dec 25, 12:03 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

67.79%chance

223

OptionVotes

NO

YES

93

54

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