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Prediction markets for Fix

Will LLM hallucinations be a fixed problem by the end of 2028?

Aug 15, 8:07 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

55.94%chance

25993900

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4980

2595

Is Nvidia a bubble? (Fixed version)

Mar 8, 7:30 PMMar 9, 4:59 AM

9.57%chance

255664

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2237

754

Who will be the next President of Russia, after Vladimir Putin? (fixed)

Sep 28, 1:42 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

212725

OptionProbability

Other

Mikhail Mishustin

Nikolai Patrushev

Dmitry Medvedev

Sergey Sobyanin

Sergei Shoigu

Aleksey Dyumin

Alexander Bortnikov

Boris Nadezhdin

Dmitry Patrushev

Sergey Kiriyenko

Alexander Lukashenko

Alexei Navalny

49

11

10

5

5

5

3

3

3

3

2

1

0

Will this issue with Rust's type safety be fixed before the release of edition 2027?

Sep 12, 1:14 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

65.19%chance

131082

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1178

888

Will Apple fix its IP address leaks before 2028?

Aug 31, 4:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65.58%chance

10824

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1380

724

Fixed Income Mana Investment Opportunity!!!!

Apr 26, 9:37 AMApr 27, 6:59 AM

6541

OptionProbability

NO

YES

133

66

Will the Fehmarn Belt fixed link between Denmark and Germany be completed by 2030?

Sep 11, 1:54 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

14%chance

12316

OptionVotes

YES

NO

368

63

Will NASA perform the 'Big Bang' power fix on Voyager 1 in 2026?

Oct 20, 5:07 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

97.45%chance

6299

OptionVotes

NO

YES

385

4

A fixed structure (not buoy or the like) at Null Island by Christmas Eve 2031, over 75 cm by 75 cm?

Oct 5, 2:07 AMDec 23, 11:59 PM

15.08%chance

3132

OptionVotes

YES

NO

230

52

Will any scientist or Nobel laureate have their brain formalin-fixed after death by EOY 2030?

Feb 1, 1:18 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

31.42%chance

585

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

79

Will anyone find a hole in my market rules that makes me fix a description? [Convince the Machine #33]

Nov 6, 7:39 PMDec 6, 11:59 PM

69.31%chance

679

OptionVotes

NO

YES

140

76

Will a 30-year fixed rate mortgage be cheaper than an adjustable rate mortgage for me?

Sep 17, 2:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

48.94%chance

429

OptionVotes

NO

YES

144

142

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