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Prediction markets for Fixed

Will LLM hallucinations be a fixed problem by the end of 2028?

Aug 15, 8:07 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

37.49%chance

25290776

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4075

3694

Is Nvidia a bubble? (Fixed version)

Mar 8, 7:30 PMMar 9, 4:59 AM

12.86%chance

245164

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1737

817

Who will be the next President of Russia, after Vladimir Putin? (fixed)

Sep 28, 1:42 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

212721

OptionProbability

Other

Nikolai Patrushev

Mikhail Mishustin

Dmitry Medvedev

Sergei Shoigu

Sergey Sobyanin

Alexander Bortnikov

Boris Nadezhdin

Dmitry Patrushev

Aleksey Dyumin

Sergey Kiriyenko

Alexander Lukashenko

Alexei Navalny

48

12

10

5

5

4

3

3

3

2

2

1

0

Will Nestle Fix their Quality Street "Chocolates" and Import them back into Australia from UK again by Christmas 2026?

Jan 16, 8:12 AMDec 24, 11:59 PM

11.53%chance

41186

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3011

2751

Will this issue with Rust's type safety be fixed before the release of edition 2027?

Sep 12, 1:14 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

65.19%chance

131082

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1178

888

Will Manifold fix notifications in 2026?

Mar 16, 7:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.2%chance

9607

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1272

786

Which problem will be fixed first: microplastics or global warming?

Apr 2, 8:22 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

12421

OptionProbability

Global warming

Micro plastics

67

33

Will my school computer be fixed by the end of the school year?

Mar 24, 1:20 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

42%chance

6351

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1175

851

Will the Fehmarn Belt fixed link between Denmark and Germany be completed by 2030?

Sep 11, 1:54 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

14%chance

12316

OptionVotes

YES

NO

368

63

Will any scientist or Nobel laureate have their brain formalin-fixed after death by EOY 2030?

Feb 1, 1:18 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

31.42%chance

585

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

79

Will a 30-year fixed rate mortgage be cheaper than an adjustable rate mortgage for me?

Sep 17, 2:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

48.94%chance

429

OptionVotes

NO

YES

144

142

Local San Mateo: Will Jeffrey's hamburger have fixed their door by mid 2027

Jan 2, 9:51 PMJun 30, 8:50 PM

50.2%chance

222

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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