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Prediction markets for Flagship Product

CATL receives license renewal for Yichun Lithium mine by end of Feb 2027?

Jun 9, 2:12 PMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

92.28%chance

75857043

OptionVotes

NO

YES

362974

30273

Will Kamoa-Kakula copper production exceed 500,000 tonnes for calendar year 2027?

Apr 7, 1:26 PMJul 1, 3:59 AM

12.32%chance

716904

OptionVotes

YES

NO

25878

5023

Will Fable remain at the top of the coding ranking?

Jun 30, 9:15 AMDec 31, 10:05 AM

32.08%chance

193014

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1330

154

What will be the final net IRR for Berkshire Fund X? (X100)

Dec 2, 8:22 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

67.25%chance

72148

OptionProbability

NO

YES

464

271

Will Astra 6.1+ be released this week (by November 8, 2026)?

Nov 3, 6:59 AMNov 9, 7:59 AM

2.64%chance

342053

OptionVotes

YES

NO

591

64

Will Apple skip sequential numbering and not name its next flagship iPhone released in 2026 “iPhone 18”?

Jan 9, 5:35 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

57.89%chance

12930

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1407

256

Will a Midjourney Scanner be available for paid public full-body scans in the US by Dec 31, 2027?

Jun 18, 3:36 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

8.53%chance

8695

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1561

1280

Will Anthropic require training-consent for any frontier model by mid-2027?

Jun 21, 9:40 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

15.62%chance

9202

OptionVotes

YES

NO

127

94

Will the next Astra 6.1+ beat the next Fable 5.2+ on Epoch's ECI? (Apr 30 snapshot)

Nov 2, 7:04 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

52.35%chance

569

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

94

Will Jose Luis Ricon get a https://www.generationlab.com/the-systemage-test blood test (Alina Su's) by 2031

May 20, 7:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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