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Prediction markets for Flagship Product

CATL receives license renewal for Yichun Lithium mine by end of Feb 2027?

Jun 9, 2:12 PMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

60.65%chance

4765967

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130486

84436

GPT 5.6 released by…?

May 18, 3:17 AMDec 31, 2:14 AM

5440994

OptionProbability

11.59pm ET December 31 2026

11.59pm ET July 31 2026

11.59pm ET July 23 2026

11.59pm ET July 15 2026

11.59pm ET July 7 2026

11.59pm ET June 30 2026

11.59pm ET June 22 2026

11.59pm ET May 31 2026

11.59pm ET June 7 2026

11.59pm ET June 15 2026

95

93

90

86

30

9

1

0

0

0

Will Kamoa-Kakula copper production exceed 500,000 tonnes for calendar year 2027?

Apr 7, 1:26 PMJul 1, 3:59 AM

21.45%chance

58495

OptionVotes

YES

NO

17608

6638

What will be the final net IRR for Berkshire Fund X? (X100)

Dec 2, 8:22 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

67.25%chance

72148

OptionProbability

NO

YES

464

271

Will a Midjourney Scanner be available for paid public full-body scans in the US by Dec 31, 2027?

Jun 18, 3:36 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

8.53%chance

8695

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1561

1280

Will Anthropic require training-consent for any frontier model by mid-2027?

Jun 21, 9:40 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

19.57%chance

7177

OptionVotes

YES

NO

102

99

Will Apple skip sequential numbering and not name its next flagship iPhone released in 2026 “iPhone 18”?

Jan 9, 5:35 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.54%chance

4102

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1043

847

Will Jose Luis Ricon get a https://www.generationlab.com/the-systemage-test blood test (Alina Su's) by 2031

May 20, 7:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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