flight News

When will Starship flight 10 happen?

Mar 31, 9:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

72178146

OptionProbability

Before 2025-10-01

Before 2025-09-01

Before 2025-08-24

Before 2025-08-16

Before 2025-06-01

Before 2025-07-01

Before 2025-08-01

Before 2025-07-16

Before 2025-07-08

By which flight will SpaceX successfully recover both Starship and its Booster?

Jun 8, 1:42 PMJul 2, 5:59 AM

80156184

OptionProbability

By when will New Glenn flight 2 launch?

Jan 13, 5:27 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

37155906

OptionProbability

2025-12-31

2025-09-30

2025-04-30

2025-06-30

2025-02-28

2025-05-15

When will Frontier Airlines first offer transatlantic flights?

Nov 16, 7:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1297277

OptionProbability

Other

Q4 2025

Q3 2025

Q2 2025

Q1 2024

Q4 2023

Q2 2024

Q3 2024

Q4 2024

Q1 2025

What will be the official cause(s) of the Air India Flight 171 crash?

Jun 13, 6:55 AMJun 30, 6:43 AM

16649049

OptionProbability

Pilot Action: Pilot action was a primary cause of the crash.

Design/Manufacturing Defect: A Boeing design or manufacturing defect was a primary cause of the crash.

Maintenance/Fueling Lapse: An Air India maintenance or fueling lapse was a primary cause of the crash.

Will SpaceX attempt to deploy Starlink satellites in the first fully-orbital Starship–SuperHeavy flight?

Mar 24, 7:01 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

65%chance

6411861

OptionVotes

YES

1042

880

Will the United States legalize commercial supersonic flight over land before 2026?

Jul 2, 3:01 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

93.3%chance

275423

OptionVotes

YES

3030

110

If I offer someone on a plane $20 to take off their mask for the remainder of the flight, will they accept?

Mar 13, 5:32 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

17.25%chance

713252

OptionVotes

YES

1802

902

Will Boom Supersonic have their first commercial supersonic flight by the end of 2030?

Apr 19, 10:13 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.64%chance

302708

OptionVotes

YES

2178

1904

Will a Boom Supersonic beat SpaceX to COMMERCIAL super-sonic suborbital flight? (see description for terms)

Dec 9, 4:32 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

39.83%chance

121672

OptionVotes

YES

1011

970

Will there be commercial flights to the Moon in 2032?

Apr 9, 1:42 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

25.85%chance

22746

OptionVotes

YES

1011

975

Will the TSA allow unlimited sticks of butter on flights in the USA before 2035?

Oct 11, 8:02 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

38.52%chance

13465

OptionVotes

YES

1168

590

flight News

Prediction markets for flight

Prediction markets for flight

Prediction markets for flight

When will Starship flight 10 happen?

By which flight will SpaceX successfully recover both Starship and its Booster?

By when will New Glenn flight 2 launch?

When will Frontier Airlines first offer transatlantic flights?

What will be the official cause(s) of the Air India Flight 171 crash?

Will SpaceX attempt to deploy Starlink satellites in the first fully-orbital Starship–SuperHeavy flight?

Will the United States legalize commercial supersonic flight over land before 2026?

If I offer someone on a plane $20 to take off their mask for the remainder of the flight, will they accept?

Will Boom Supersonic have their first commercial supersonic flight by the end of 2030?

Will a Boom Supersonic beat SpaceX to COMMERCIAL super-sonic suborbital flight? (see description for terms)

Will there be commercial flights to the Moon in 2032?

Will the TSA allow unlimited sticks of butter on flights in the USA before 2035?

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