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Prediction markets for Flow State

Will the US implement some form of capital control by 2029?

Mar 9, 11:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

49.62%chance

5411110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6126

3286

Trump/US reaches a deal with Denmark to sell Greenland in 2026?

Jan 22, 1:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10%chance

162189

OptionVotes

YES

NO

300

33

When will Tesla FSD (supervised) be widely available in the EU?

Dec 15, 2:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42185

OptionProbability

Before Jan 2027

Before Nov 2026

After 2027-01-01

Before Sep 2026

Before July 2026

Before May 2026

Before Mar 2026

55

50

46

42

31

29

0

Will Stoke Space fly to space before 2027?

Dec 16, 6:04 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.98%chance

121950

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1365

734

Kurdistan will become a state in 2029

Jan 18, 3:58 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.18%chance

11941

OptionVotes

YES

NO

220

46

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.28%chance

7315

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1051

819

China achieves over 180 GW of new-type energy storage capacity by end of 2027?

Nov 26, 3:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

79.02%chance

4169

OptionVotes

NO

YES

194

52

When will OpenAI first turn a profit?

Oct 29, 4:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5110

OptionProbability

Not before 2034

In 2031

In 2032

In 2030

In 2028

In 2029

43

15

15

10

9

9

Will there be a psychedelics + closed-loop TMS paper by EOY2028?

Nov 11, 11:36 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

56.48%chance

451

OptionVotes

NO

YES

114

88

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