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Prediction markets for Flow State

Will Stoke Space fly to space before 2027?

Dec 16, 6:04 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1.74%chance

198231

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7532

133

Trump/US reaches a deal with Denmark to sell Greenland in 2026?

Jan 22, 1:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1.98%chance

233506

OptionVotes

YES

NO

703

14

When will Tesla FSD (supervised) be widely available in the EU?

Dec 15, 2:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

43265

OptionProbability

Before Jan 2027

After 2027-01-01

Before Nov 2026

Before Mar 2026

Before May 2026

Before July 2026

Before Sep 2026

55

46

23

0

0

0

0

Will Databricks IPO before 2028?

Oct 1, 5:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

60.45%chance

131031

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1236

809

Kurdistan will become a state in 2029

Jan 18, 3:58 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.93%chance

12999

OptionVotes

YES

NO

165

61

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.17%chance

16992

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1100

977

China achieves over 180 GW of new-type energy storage capacity by end of 2027?

Nov 26, 3:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

72.42%chance

6249

OptionVotes

NO

YES

162

62

When will OpenAI first turn a profit?

Oct 29, 4:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7143

OptionProbability

Not before 2034

In 2028

In 2029

In 2031

In 2032

In 2030

29

27

13

11

11

8

Will there be a psychedelics + closed-loop TMS paper by EOY2028?

Nov 11, 11:36 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

60.64%chance

458

OptionVotes

NO

YES

124

81

Will fully AI generated osu! beatmaps made by melokai.com will be used by mappers to create a starting base before 2028?

Aug 6, 8:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

68.26%chance

333

OptionVotes

YES

NO

102

94

Will the DR Congo re-impose a full cobalt export suspension by March 31, 2027?

Nov 3, 2:42 PMMar 31, 2:45 PM

10.02%chance

12

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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