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Prediction markets for Fluid

Which of these disasters will strike the world next?

Jul 6, 9:54 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

965955

OptionProbability

Pandemic

Climate

AI

Nuclear

62

24

12

3

Will Starship reach Earth orbit before the Blue Origin Lunar Lander?

Mar 1, 2:57 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

88.31%chance

274139

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2749

364

2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.

Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

79.08%chance

382747

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1720

680

Which month will Blue Moon Mk 1 successfully land on the Moon?

Jan 19, 3:09 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

121140

OptionProbability

Other

December 2026

October 2026

November 2026

June 2026

July 2026

August 2026

September 2026

March 2026

April 2026

May 2026

87

4

2

2

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

Which will be the first hybrid-propellant rocket to reach orbit?

Apr 4, 1:46 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

8789

OptionProbability

Eris (Gilmour Space)

None reach orbit by EOY 2035

Other

Kestrel V (ATSpace)

Aurora (Reaction Dynamics)

SL1 (HyImpulse)

54

28

6

5

4

4

Will we get synthetic hearts before 2035?

Jun 13, 12:19 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM

39.43%chance

13614

OptionVotes

YES

NO

124

81

By what year will one of the United States of America elect all its US Representatives proportionally?

Jan 30, 9:02 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

9597

OptionProbability

2055

2050

2040

2045

2035

2030

2025

61

57

47

46

33

18

1

Will we get synthetic lungs before 2035?

Jun 11, 8:02 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM

20.21%chance

9597

OptionVotes

YES

NO

199

50

Physics Nobel 2026: Awarded Field(s) Multimarket

Jan 2, 3:18 PMSep 30, 2:16 PM

8559

OptionProbability

Quantum Mechanics (includes Quantum Computing)

Astrophysics or Cosmology

Condensed Matter Physics

Optics or Photonics

Atomic or Molecular Physics

Geophysics, Climate or Atmospheric Physics

Biophysics

Fluid dynamics

Semiconductor Physics

Superconductivity

Thermodynamics

Particle Physics

37

24

24

24

24

24

24

24

24

17

6

4

Will we get synthetic stomachs before 2035?

Jun 26, 11:48 AMMar 5, 10:59 PM

26.67%chance

11442

OptionVotes

YES

NO

166

60

Will we get synthetic eyes before 2035?

Jun 21, 11:51 AMMar 5, 10:59 PM

13.7%chance

9382

OptionVotes

YES

NO

251

40

Will I meaningfully choke from eating pills without fluids by 2030?

Nov 10, 3:02 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

24%chance

8171

OptionVotes

YES

NO

165

39

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