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Prediction markets for Fluid

Which sexual/romantic acts will James Bond be part of in the next James Bond movie?

Feb 13, 3:16 AMFeb 28, 7:59 PM

676303

OptionProbability

Kissing

Puts his hand on the small of a woman's back (does not have to be romantic/sexual touch)

Sex is implied but not shown (e.g. Kissing, then fading to black and then waking up in bed together)

Flirts with Moneypenny

Cuddling

Hugging

Kisses (or more) with multiple partners (not necessarily at once)

Committing a crime together

Holding hands

Romantic dinner

Carressing the pit above the back of the neck

Any form of meditative/tantric romance

Torture (with sexual tension)

Missionary

Say or be told "I love you" (Any language)

Cowgirl

Passing items or fluids mouth to mouth

ASMR

Massage

Sexting

Multiple partners (at once)

Spanking (receive or give)

Oral

Gay sex

Anal

Oral (giving)

Oral (receiving)

Pegging

Double Anal Penetration

97

88

80

75

70

65

61

61

60

51

50

50

50

39

31

31

31

31

28

20

13

12

11

9

8

7

7

6

5

Which of these disasters will strike the world next?

Jul 6, 9:54 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

966006

OptionProbability

Pandemic

Climate

AI

Nuclear

61

23

12

3

Will Starship reach Earth orbit before the Blue Origin Lunar Lander?

Mar 1, 2:57 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

92.92%chance

295766

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3621

276

2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.

Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

79.08%chance

382747

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1720

680

In what year will AI achieve a score of 95% or higher on the PhysBench leaderboard?

Jul 4, 6:41 PMJan 1, 5:00 PM

152009

OptionProbability

2027-2028

2025-2026

2029-2030

2031-2032

2033-2034

2035-2036

2037-2038

2039-2040

44

30

27

26

26

26

26

23

Will we get synthetic kidneys before 2035?

Jun 18, 5:49 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM

17.91%chance

131022

OptionVotes

YES

NO

214

47

Which will be the first hybrid-propellant rocket to reach orbit?

Apr 4, 1:46 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

8789

OptionProbability

Eris (Gilmour Space)

None reach orbit by EOY 2035

Other

Kestrel V (ATSpace)

Aurora (Reaction Dynamics)

SL1 (HyImpulse)

54

28

6

5

4

4

By what year will one of the United States of America elect all its US Representatives proportionally?

Jan 30, 9:02 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

10639

OptionProbability

2055

2050

2040

2045

2035

2030

2025

61

57

47

46

33

11

1

Physics Nobel 2026: Awarded Field(s) Multimarket

Jan 2, 3:18 PMOct 5, 1:16 AM

11603

OptionProbability

Quantum Mechanics (includes Quantum Computing)

Astrophysics or Cosmology

Condensed Matter Physics

Optics or Photonics

Atomic or Molecular Physics

Geophysics, Climate or Atmospheric Physics

Biophysics

Fluid dynamics

Semiconductor Physics

Superconductivity

Thermodynamics

Particle Physics

25

24

24

24

24

24

24

24

24

17

6

4

Will we get synthetic livers before 2035?

Jun 16, 10:13 AMMar 5, 10:59 PM

25.34%chance

10474

OptionVotes

YES

NO

172

58

Will I meaningfully choke from eating pills without fluids by 2030?

Nov 10, 3:02 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

28%chance

12199

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

44

Will Gordon Ryan compete again before he gets old?

Apr 11, 10:45 AMJul 8, 12:59 AM

56.35%chance

5100

OptionVotes

NO

YES

114

88

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