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Prediction markets for Fluid

Which of these disasters will strike the world next?

Jul 6, 9:54 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

965909

OptionProbability

Pandemic

Climate

AI

Nuclear

63

21

13

3

2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.

Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

79.08%chance

382747

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1720

680

Will Starship reach Earth orbit before the Blue Origin Lunar Lander?

Mar 1, 2:57 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

64.87%chance

212629

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1359

736

Will we get synthetic kidneys before 2035?

Jun 18, 5:49 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM

18%chance

13963

OptionVotes

YES

NO

213

47

By what year will one of the United States of America elect all its US Representatives proportionally?

Jan 30, 9:02 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

9597

OptionProbability

2055

2050

2040

2045

2035

2030

2025

61

57

47

46

33

18

1

Will we get synthetic lungs before 2035?

Jun 11, 8:02 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM

26%chance

9567

OptionVotes

YES

NO

169

59

Will we get synthetic livers before 2035?

Jun 16, 10:13 AMMar 5, 10:59 PM

26%chance

10417

OptionVotes

YES

NO

169

59

Physics Nobel 2026: Awarded Field(s) Multimarket

Jan 2, 3:18 PMSep 30, 2:16 PM

7393

OptionProbability

Quantum Mechanics (includes Quantum Computing)

Astrophysics or Cosmology

Condensed Matter Physics

Optics or Photonics

Atomic or Molecular Physics

Geophysics, Climate or Atmospheric Physics

Biophysics

Fluid dynamics

Semiconductor Physics

Superconductivity

Particle Physics

Thermodynamics

37

24

24

24

24

24

24

24

24

17

8

6

Which month will Blue Moon Mk 1 successfully land on the Moon?

Jan 19, 3:09 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

8390

OptionProbability

Other

December 2026

October 2026

November 2026

September 2026

August 2026

July 2026

June 2026

March 2026

April 2026

May 2026

33

18

10

10

9

7

6

3

1

1

1

Will we get synthetic eyes before 2035?

Jun 21, 11:51 AMMar 5, 10:59 PM

17%chance

9352

OptionVotes

YES

NO

221

45

Will I meaningfully choke from eating pills without fluids by 2030?

Nov 10, 3:02 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

24%chance

8171

OptionVotes

YES

NO

165

39

Who will be the next governor-elect of São Paulo in 2026?

Apr 24, 10:27 PMOct 25, 11:59 PM

280

OptionProbability

Tarcísio de Freitas

Fernando Haddad

Márcio França

Kim Kataguiri

Other

68

9

8

8

8

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