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Prediction markets for For You

Is Nicotine Good for You?

Jan 4, 9:50 AMJan 31, 10:59 PM

25.17%chance

756190

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1188

916

TRUE or FALSE: “Masturbation is good for you”

Dec 14, 8:32 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

72.14%chance

254183

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4311

2277

How many Spotify listens will 'All I Want for Christmas is You' have on Christmas 2029?

Nov 11, 5:53 AMDec 25, 11:59 PM

72340

OptionProbability

4.0B - 4.8B

4.8B - 5.6B

3.2B - 4.0B

2.5B - 3.2B

5.6B - 6.0B

Below 2.5B

Above 6.0B

39

26

21

6

6

2

1

Will I be convinced that seed oils are super bad for you by 2027?

Nov 1, 7:11 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

12.02%chance

20825

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1482

1103

Are Psychedelic Drugs Good for You?

Dec 31, 9:28 PMJan 31, 10:59 PM

49.54%chance

8619

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1009

991

Will "Don't Let LLMs Write For You" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Mar 11, 4:32 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

9.92%chance

3400

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1400

947

In what year will All I Want For Christmas Is You by Mariah Carey lose the streak of reaching #1 song in December?

Mar 25, 4:27 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9399

OptionProbability

Other

2031

2027

2030

2028

2026

2029

2025

29

15

13

10

9

9

9

8

Is Caffeine Good for You?

Dec 31, 9:25 PMJan 31, 10:59 PM

34.38%chance

6318

OptionVotes

YES

NO

138

72

Is Semen Retention Good for You?

Dec 31, 9:30 PMJan 7, 10:59 PM

78.47%chance

3110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

191

52

Will Haha, You Clowns be renewed for a 4th season by Adult Swim?

Dec 18, 5:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46.46%chance

497

OptionVotes

YES

NO

107

93

Will All I Want For Christmas is You by Mariah Carey reach #1 song on the Hot 100 in December of 2033?

Mar 25, 4:23 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

72.44%chance

270

OptionVotes

NO

YES

210

98

If you make an ugly woman your wife, will you be happy for the rest of your life?

Jun 5, 11:30 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

28.82%chance

230

OptionVotes

YES

NO

120

71

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