OptionVotes
YES
NO
1758
78
2430
412
392
181
OptionProbability
GBU-57 MOP
Humans inside the facility
GBU-28 or GBU-72
Modified, improvised, or previously-secret design of nonnuclear bomb
Cargo aircraft used as bomber
Ballistic missile with nonnuclear warhead
Nuclear weapon
90
23
15
11
7
4
