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Prediction markets for Foreign

Is Havana Syndrome real? (attack from foreign adversary) 🔫⚡️🤯🇨🇺🇺🇸

Mar 29, 12:19 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM

25.75%chance

10110627

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1137

1078

Will any foreign military trainers in Ukraine be killed by Russian attacks?

Jun 5, 2:34 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

68.29%chance

323458

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1468

681

If Trump is elected president, will he approve a new foreign aid package to Ukraine while he is in office?

Mar 9, 9:38 PMNov 1, 6:59 AM

63.08%chance

282655

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1156

888

Will any veto rights for EUs Common Foreign and Security Policy be removed during the 2024-2029 legislative period?

May 18, 4:09 PMJun 25, 9:59 PM

27.49%chance

42165

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1624

616

During the next Labour government, will there be a Foreign Secretary serving from the House of Lords?

Apr 17, 4:51 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

13.99%chance

161715

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1810

784

Will there be federal regulations in America against foreign waifus by 2030?

Nov 17, 11:26 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

19.17%chance

91588

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2053

487

Will Russia be invaded by foreign troops (other than Ukrainian, >10000) before 2060?

Aug 15, 8:08 PMJan 1, 8:59 PM

23.84%chance

51187

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1787

559

SOAI#6: “AI neutrality” emerges as a foreign policy doctrine as some nations cannot or fail to develop sovereign AI

Oct 9, 11:06 PMDec 13, 12:06 AM

21.52%chance

171106

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1910

524

Will we successfully deploy our own Von Neumann probes before we detect foreign Von Neumann probes?

Jan 29, 2:28 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

81.29%chance

20449

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1212

919

By 2040, will there be audio translation tech that's a full substitute for knowing a foreign language?

Dec 29, 7:24 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

86.25%chance

15406

OptionVotes

YES

NO

988

903

Will NO foreign leader claim by 31 Dec 2028 that Putin used impersonators, decoys, body doubles to represent Russia?

Jan 9, 7:21 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

73.25%chance

5156

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1119

953

The next major foreign terrorist attack in the US will be at

Jun 23, 12:48 PMJan 26, 11:59 PM

130

OptionProbability

Washington D.C.

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Philadelphia

San Antonio

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Indianapolis

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7

5

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