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Prediction markets for Forrester
Will an AI get bronze or silver (but not gold) on any International Math Olympiad by end of 2025?
Jul 23, 1:21 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
50.89%chance
23194736
OptionVotes
1240
1180
Will AI have a trillion+ dollar impact by the end of 2025?
Apr 25, 2:15 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
8.51%chance
14027140
OptionVotes
4793
842
Will AI have a trillion+ dollar impact by the end of 2030?
Oct 29, 12:44 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
96.04%chance
10423559
OptionVotes
10119
734
🎞️If the AFI Top 100 Movie list updates again, which films from last time will make it again?
Mar 4, 4:49 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
276586
OptionProbability
97
97
96
96
96
96
96
95
95
95
94
94
94
92
92
92
92
92
92
92
92
91
91
91
91
91
91
90
90
90
90
90
90
90
90
90
90
90
90
90
90
90
90
90
90
90
90
90
90
90
90
90
90
89
88
88
88
88
87
87
87
87
86
86
86
85
84
81
80
80
78
78
76
74
74
74
74
74
74
74
67
67
67
67
67
67
67
67
67
65
65
65
65
65
65
63
57
56
56
47
Will AI automate all remote jobs that do not require a legal person by Jan 1st 2027?
Jan 15, 12:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
6.41%chance
195150
OptionVotes
3821
262
OptionVotes
2394
418
Will I be around to resolve this market in December 2027?
Nov 16, 6:19 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
69.41%chance
282173
OptionVotes
1628
409
🎞️If the AFI Top 100 Movie list updates again, what will the ranking order of films be?
Mar 3, 6:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
7874
OptionProbability
66
62
56
56
56
56
56
56
56
56
56
56
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
44
44
44
44
44
44
44
44
44
41
38
34
34
34
33
32
28
27
25
19
16
Will Climate Manipulating Weapons be Used in the Russian / Ukraine Conflict?
May 7, 5:35 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM
16.29%chance
16705
OptionVotes
1210
933
Will any data center be attacked to oppose AI development by 2030?
Jun 26, 6:46 AMJan 3, 7:59 AM
38.31%chance
14656
OptionVotes
1269
788
In 2030, will Maldives Floating City be home to at least 2,000 people?
Aug 1, 10:58 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
19.59%chance
16347
OptionVotes
1098
950
Will an isotope of an element with atomic number > 113 be observed to have a half life >= 1 minute ? (By EoY 2050)
Oct 14, 1:11 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
48.63%chance
14226
OptionVotes
1020
978