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Prediction markets for Forward of the Year

Who will be the F1 World Champion (WDC) in 2025?

Sep 20, 12:12 PMDec 8, 11:59 PM

10946111

OptionProbability

Oscar Piastri (McLaren)

Lando Norris (McLaren)

Max Verstappen (Red Bull)

Lewis Hamilton (Ferrari)

Charles Leclerc (Ferrari)

George Russell (Mercedes)

Sergio Perez (Red Bull)

Andrea Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes)

Fernando Alonso (Aston Martin)

Other

74

24

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will a "lifetime smoking ban" become law in the UK before the next General Election after July 2024?

May 31, 1:56 PMMay 7, 10:59 PM

71.63%chance

5811712

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1589

629

Which will be the first NFL season where Patrick Mahomes doesn't make the AFC Championship Game as a starter?

Jan 23, 7:02 AMJan 30, 3:59 PM

133359

OptionProbability

2025

2028+

2026

2027

2024

42

26

18

13

1

What year will Earthblade be released?

Mar 28, 1:28 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

62615

OptionProbability

2028 or later, or never

2025

2024

2026

2027

99

1

0

0

0

2030 – 4. “Agents” and “AGI” will be outdated terms that are no longer widely used.

Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

26.97%chance

251329

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1017

852

When will UK millennials get their state pension?

Aug 3, 12:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

321110

OptionProbability

69 to 73 years old

There will be no state pension for millenials

Over 73 years old

68 years old

63 to 67 years old

Under 63 years old

56

18

14

10

2

0

Which year will legal action first be taken against Manifold Markets by any governmental entity ?

Apr 29, 12:48 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

101066

OptionProbability

Other

2027

2026

2025

2024

43

37

16

3

1

Puff Daddy is handed a jail sentence of over 5 years incarceration by 9/1/2025.

Nov 7, 1:31 AMSep 2, 5:59 AM

5.98%chance

16934

OptionVotes

YES

NO

397

25

By Mid 2028 people no longer believe Nagi Japan's population has a TFR over 2.5

Nov 18, 3:08 PMJun 30, 2:59 PM

30.77%chance

1500

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1500

667

Will I get my money back from the cruise casino?

Feb 7, 7:54 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

59.72%chance

6380

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1459

987

Will NASA approve the Uranus Orbiter before 2030?

Mar 30, 10:44 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

33.78%chance

4120

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

82

How high will the industry average german THG quota payout tonne of CO2 be in 2025?

Jan 2, 10:37 AMFeb 28, 10:59 PM

249

OptionProbability

90€ - <100€

80€ - <90€

100€ - <120€

≥200€

120€ - <140€

60€ - <70€

70€ - <80€

140€ - <160€

<40€

40€ - <50€

50€ - <60€

160€ - <180€

180€ - <200€

15

14

12

10

9

7

7

7

4

4

4

4

4

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