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Prediction markets for Fourth Quarter

Will Someone Streak the Superbowl?

Jan 15, 4:36 PMFeb 9, 11:59 PM

35.76%chance

181366

OptionVotes

NO

YES

117

53

US Q4 GDP Positive?

Oct 14, 7:57 AMMar 1, 7:59 AM

99%chance

101279

OptionVotes

NO

YES

995

10

When will Slate Auto ship their 500th vehicle?

Apr 25, 7:39 PMJan 1, 8:35 PM

5248

OptionProbability

2027

2028

2026

2029

2030

33

28

16

13

10

NVIDIAs datacenter revenue and BigTech AI capex doubles by Q4 2026

May 19, 12:12 PMJan 1, 10:47 AM

23.4%chance

8211

OptionVotes

YES

NO

186

57

Which will be the first Chinese orbital-class reusable rocket stage to land vertically?

Nov 29, 12:31 PMNov 29, 12:26 PM

3149

OptionProbability

Zhuque-3 (LandSpace)

Long March 12A (SAST/CASC)

Tianlong-3 (Space Pioneer)

Kinetica-2/Lijian-2 (CAS Space)

Other

49

21

10

10

10

India touches 5 trillion dollar GDP in 2027?

Jul 1, 3:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.61%chance

348

OptionVotes

YES

NO

134

74

In which Quarter will open the first new part of Venice MarcoPolo Airport with Gates A?

Jul 31, 4:37 PMMar 30, 10:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

3/2025

4/2025

1/2026

Other

25

25

25

25

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