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Prediction markets for Fourth Quarter

When will Slate Auto ship their 500th vehicle?

Apr 25, 7:39 PMJan 1, 8:35 PM

6298

OptionProbability

2027

2028

2026

2029

2030

34

29

14

13

10

NVIDIAs datacenter revenue and BigTech AI capex doubles by Q4 2026

May 19, 12:12 PMJan 1, 10:47 AM

32%chance

11257

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

71

Which will be the first Chinese orbital-class reusable rocket stage to land vertically?

Nov 29, 12:31 PMNov 29, 12:26 PM

3169

OptionProbability

Zhuque-3 (LandSpace)

Long March 12A (SAST/CASC)

Long March 10A (CALT/CASC)

Other

Tianlong-3 (Space Pioneer)

Kinetica-2/Lijian-2 (CAS Space)

44

24

9

9

7

7

India touches 5 trillion dollar GDP in 2027?

Jul 1, 3:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31%chance

584

OptionVotes

YES

NO

149

67

CBA basketball champion 2025/26

Feb 17, 12:53 AMMay 31, 11:59 PM

140

OptionProbability

Shanghai Sharks

Guangsha Lions

Beijing Ducks

Guangdong Southern Tigers

Other

37

36

9

9

9

In which Quarter will open the first new part of Venice MarcoPolo Airport with Gates A?

Jul 31, 4:37 PMMar 30, 10:59 PM

140

OptionProbability

Other

1/2026

4/2025

3/2025

49

27

14

11

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