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Prediction markets for Frame AI

Will OpenAI hint at [read description] or claim to have AGI by 2025 end?

Apr 13, 10:30 PMJan 1, 3:59 AM

9.04%chance

18031036403

OptionVotes

YES

NO

36274

6099

Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 500M views before 2026?

Jan 9, 2:03 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

71.21%chance

5213392

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1672

424

When will AI-rendered video games have 1 million paid users?

Nov 20, 6:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

2612744

OptionProbability

2030

2029

2028

2027

2026

2025

53

48

43

41

34

18

Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 1B views before 2026?

Jan 5, 12:53 AMJan 6, 10:59 PM

24.71%chance

576306

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1436

784

Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 1B views before 2027?

Jan 5, 12:58 AMJan 6, 10:59 PM

70.49%chance

285036

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1478

697

Will AI "smart glasses" be a popular AI wearable form factor by 2027? (eg Meta Ray Bans)

Mar 25, 10:24 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

82.44%chance

443737

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2178

414

Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 2B views before 2026?

Jan 17, 7:49 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

9.45%chance

161936

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1986

825

Will Sam Altman know who I am? (5 year time frame)

May 3, 4:40 AMJan 4, 12:59 PM

49.69%chance

371441

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1299

353

Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 2B views before 2027?

Jan 18, 8:48 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

40%chance

15715

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1170

418

Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 5B views before 2027?

Jan 18, 8:55 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

13.96%chance

15691

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1233

928

Will AI-enhanced video-editing software automatically slow-down frame rate of fast-scrolled videos by EOY 2027?

Feb 28, 7:57 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

54.75%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130

111

Will AI figure out who has the highest visual frame compression efficiency to working memory ratio by 2030?

Sep 11, 12:30 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

50

50

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