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Top stories

Google Patches Two Actively Exploited Qualcomm Flaws in Android Update

Authors

4

22 hours ago

Prediction markets for Framework

Will React still be the most popular front-end framework in 2030?

Jul 8, 3:12 PMJan 2, 2:59 AM

39.8%chance

171577

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1230

813

Will React still be the most popular front-end framework in 2035?

Jul 7, 7:48 PMJan 2, 2:59 AM

19.1%chance

111575

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2058

486

Will the 3 laws of robotics be used as a framework for an AGI or advanced AI by 2030?

Jan 6, 9:05 PMJan 7, 7:59 AM

15.49%chance

20819

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1380

898

Will Canada sign the Framework Convention on AI before 2026?

Sep 9, 7:23 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

60.55%chance

5400

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1239

807

Will "DeepMind's "Frontier Safety Framework" is w..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

May 18, 4:23 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

10.65%chance

2310

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1307

957

Will it be possible to acquire or assemble a Framework laptop with a trackpoint?

Jul 31, 2:54 PMAug 31, 9:59 PM

13.26%chance

6206

OptionVotes

YES

NO

179

25

Will an AI implement a full infinity-topos mathematical framework by end of 2025?

Apr 11, 9:26 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

16.78%chance

6178

OptionVotes

YES

NO

146

88

When will the first company be officially registered under the EU Inc. framework (28th Regime)?

Dec 16, 10:17 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM

3160

OptionProbability

Proposal rejected/not introduced in EU parliament by 2028

2026

2025

2027

2028

25

20

18

18

18

Entity Framework Core v11 contains SQL MERGE support?

Jul 5, 4:31 PMNov 30, 5:31 PM

29%chance

382

OptionVotes

YES

NO

156

64

Framework for a Nordic Confederation before EOY2028? (see description)

May 30, 9:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.62%chance

375

OptionVotes

YES

NO

175

57

Will "Deep Causal Transcoding: A Framework for Mech..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Jun 23, 3:20 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

13.93%chance

215

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1005

999

Will the Biden Administration’s “Export Control Framework for Artificial Intelligence Diffusion” be annulled by EOY2027?

Jan 13, 7:26 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

54.75%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

91

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