OptionProbability
Before trial begins: all 4 charges dropped, or whole case dismissed
Before a verdict of guilt for any of these charges: all 4 charges dropped, or whole case dismissed
Trial begins before 2031
Trump serves “house arrest” for any of the 4 alleged violations
Convicted of “Conspiracy to Defraud the United States”
Convicted of “Conspiracy to Obstruct an Official Proceeding”
Convicted of “Obstruction of and Attempt to Obstruct an Official Proceeding”
Convicted of “Conspiracy Against Rights”
Convicted of all 4 alleged violations
Trump goes to prison for any of the 4 alleged violations
99
49
46
31
10
7
OptionVotes
YES
NO
2305
434
2970
337
2832
354
2317
432
101 - 150
61 - 100
31 - 60
151 - 200
10 - 30
201 - 300
35
25
13
9
300
33
