OptionVotes
NO
YES
3645
602
1091
917
10122
9934
OptionProbability
Yes, if a MAGA Republican is elected in 2024
Yes, if a Democrat is elected in 2024
50
37
Set of frameworks and heuristics
Detailed plan
55
45
It rises above 95
It stays at 95
It drops below 95
It drops below 90
34
24
13
167
60
Donald Trump
RFK Jr.
Kamala Harris
66
1003
997
149
67
100