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Prediction markets for French AI

Ww3 with nuclear

Mar 7, 12:30 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

3.39%chance

196911

OptionVotes

YES

NO

533

19

AI generated philosophy book worth reading by the end of 2030 (detailed scenario)?

May 29, 12:00 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

62.73%chance

514506

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1297

771

Will the next president of France be from Parti Socialiste?

Mar 23, 11:51 AMApr 24, 11:59 PM

13.11%chance

152683

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2449

111

3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65.32%chance

10603

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1375

730

Which Money & Macro megatrends for 2026 will be correct?

Dec 25, 1:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11292

OptionProbability

China will dominate the global economy.

The AI bubble will NOT pop.

The trade war will broaden.

More and more governments will hit a debt limit.

China will blockade Taiwan.

72

63

59

44

5

Will the next French aircraft carrier be (initially) named after a woman?

Apr 9, 12:54 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

18.19%chance

5258

OptionVotes

YES

NO

336

79

Will the next French presidential elections (2027) take place without any major democratic problems because of AI?

Sep 10, 8:41 PMMay 31, 9:59 PM

75.61%chance

8200

OptionVotes

NO

YES

271

179

Conditional on Iranian Regime Change: will it be achieved by a military coup?

Feb 20, 8:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45%chance

10154

OptionVotes

YES

NO

111

90

If Putin attends the G20 summit in 2026, will any of the listed leader not attend?

Apr 24, 3:55 AMNov 18, 11:59 PM

6132

OptionProbability

Putin does not attend

Putin and all listed leaders attend

Putin attends, at least one listed leader does not

81

9

9

will france win the world cup

Mar 29, 9:01 PMJul 19, 11:59 PM

20%chance

977

OptionVotes

NO

YES

105

74

Will Mbappé break Messi’s goal record in this wc ?

Jun 25, 5:19 PMJul 19, 11:59 PM

39.01%chance

669

OptionVotes

YES

NO

125

80

Will Jean-Pierre Serre live to 100?

Mar 14, 11:14 PMSep 15, 11:59 PM

79.26%chance

348

OptionVotes

NO

YES

141

86

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