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Prediction markets for French AI

AI generated philosophy book worth reading by the end of 2030 (detailed scenario)?

May 29, 12:00 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

65.5%chance

534616

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1378

726

Will the next president of France be from Parti Socialiste?

Mar 23, 11:51 AMApr 24, 11:59 PM

6.54%chance

183382

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2924

61

3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

87.75%chance

171910

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2681

374

Will the next French aircraft carrier be (initially) named after a woman?

Apr 9, 12:54 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

6.66%chance

7532

OptionVotes

YES

NO

602

45

Over/Under: How many majors will Alexander Zverev win in his career?

Jul 8, 4:23 AMMay 10, 4:59 AM

2454

OptionProbability

2 or more

3 or more

4 or more

5 or more

100

33

13

3

The cyberattack on French supermarket fridges is proven to be caused by AI agents

Oct 15, 2:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.38%chance

13273

OptionVotes

YES

NO

138

72

Will the next French presidential elections (2027) take place without any major democratic problems because of AI?

Sep 10, 8:41 PMMay 31, 9:59 PM

76.59%chance

9210

OptionVotes

NO

YES

281

176

If Putin attends the G20 summit in 2026, will any of the listed leader not attend?

Apr 24, 3:55 AMNov 18, 11:59 PM

9208

OptionProbability

Putin does not attend

Putin and all listed leaders attend

Putin attends, at least one listed leader does not

81

10

10

Will the 2027 presidential French elections be decided at the first round?

Sep 20, 10:29 PMApr 30, 11:59 PM

2.18%chance

6192

OptionVotes

YES

NO

226

96

Does Pangram make egregious errors?

Nov 9, 6:12 AMDec 9, 6:08 AM

55.86%chance

4127

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1125

889

Will Mistral AI and/or its investors sue Juan Branco for Defamation in 2026

Sep 20, 7:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

194

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will Flanders secede from Belgium by EOY 2070?

Oct 13, 12:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.02%chance

222

OptionVotes

NO

YES

120

83

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