FSD News

Tesla FSD, RoboTaxi, CyberCab etc MegaMarket

Apr 13, 8:46 PMApr 19, 5:59 AM

3818556

OptionProbability

Will someone drive across the country in FSD with no human input of any kind by mid 2026

Will I still have grok in my car, through mid 2026

Will I will be able to get my Tesla model Y 2023 to automatically back out of my driveway to the side of the road by mid 2026 (without me in it)

Will I be able to drop my car at the entrance to a garage and have it park by mid 2026 (possibly out of sight lines) (without me in it)

I'll see an Optimus or other Tesla robot in San Mateo CA in public not at the dealership by mid 2028

US Customer takes delivery of Cybercab with no steering wheel by end of 2026

Will I be able to use a non xAi model in the car, via same mechanism as grok, by mid 2026

Will there be any conditions where I'm able to sleep in my 2023 Model Y (FSD currently 14.2.1) while it drives, on a public road by mid 2026?

Max configurable speed for self driving will be above 85 by mid 2025

Tesla robotaxi rideable in SF by the public by mid 2025

I'll be able to call a Waymo to my house in San Mateo by mid 2025

I'll be able to call a fsd Tesla vehicle to my house in San Mateo by mid 2025

100

The First Delivered Tesla with Unsupervised FSD will...

Dec 5, 5:27 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

96303

OptionProbability

Have a front facing bumper camera.

Have a screen in the back row.

Have a steering wheel.

Run on a AI4/HW4 computer.

Run on a AI5 computer.

Be a Two Seater.

When will Tesla FSD (supervised) be widely available in the EU?

Dec 15, 2:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42585

OptionProbability

Before Jan 2027

Before Nov 2026

After 2027-01-01

Before Sep 2026

Before July 2026

Before May 2026

Before Mar 2026

When will Unsupervised FSD be available on Teslas with HW3?

Oct 21, 5:57 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

72159

OptionProbability

2027

2028

2029

2030

2031

2034+

2032

2033

2026

2025

Will Tesla Fsd ever be better than a human driver

Aug 3, 4:41 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

84.04%chance

18783

OptionVotes

YES

1004

773

US air traffic control (atc) has FSD autopilot by end of 2030

Feb 6, 2:27 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

18.28%chance

5219

OptionVotes

YES

211

Video of Chinese politician actually riding in a car in China with Tesla FSD, by mid 2026

Apr 29, 7:54 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

19.03%chance

8146

OptionVotes

YES

281

Will Tesla increase fsd subscription price by eoy 2027?

Jan 25, 5:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

80.29%chance

3125

OptionVotes

YES

202

Will I regret my FSD purchase?

Feb 3, 6:53 AMJul 1, 5:49 AM

35.73%chance

8123

OptionVotes

YES

134

Will I regret my FSD purchase in 2 years?

Feb 3, 6:24 PMFeb 3, 6:23 PM

51.47%chance

9112

OptionVotes

YES

103

Will a hardware 3 tesla vehicle get an official hardware FSD upgrade by the end of 2026?

Feb 3, 9:08 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

26.42%chance

480

OptionVotes

YES

175

Full service Tesla charging stations for fsd drivers by mid 2027

Jan 13, 5:17 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

36.94%chance

458

OptionVotes

YES

131

FSD News

Prediction markets for FSD

Prediction markets for FSD

Prediction markets for FSD

Tesla FSD, RoboTaxi, CyberCab etc MegaMarket

The First Delivered Tesla with Unsupervised FSD will...

When will Tesla FSD (supervised) be widely available in the EU?

When will Unsupervised FSD be available on Teslas with HW3?

Will Tesla Fsd ever be better than a human driver

US air traffic control (atc) has FSD autopilot by end of 2030

Video of Chinese politician actually riding in a car in China with Tesla FSD, by mid 2026

Will Tesla increase fsd subscription price by eoy 2027?

Will I regret my FSD purchase?

Will I regret my FSD purchase in 2 years?

Will a hardware 3 tesla vehicle get an official hardware FSD upgrade by the end of 2026?

Full service Tesla charging stations for fsd drivers by mid 2027

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