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Prediction markets for Fuel Points

When will the U.S. government confirm that the Roswell incident was an actual UFO crash?

Sep 18, 8:00 PMJan 1, 3:59 AM

2923084

OptionProbability

Before 2040

Before 2030

Before 2027

Before 2025

Before 2026

28

17

4

0

0

Will Iran enrich uranium to weapons grade in 2026?

Dec 29, 11:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.85%chance

193766

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3687

271

8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job oss [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63%chance

202212

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1307

768

Will the US invade Iran's Kharg Island by the end of 2026?

Mar 11, 4:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.98%chance

311100

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

By 2030, will an electric car be the most economical car you can buy in the US?

May 23, 1:10 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

83.5%chance

171023

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1878

672

By the year 2030, renewable energy sources will account for more than 50% of the world's total energy consumption.

Aug 6, 8:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.33%chance

13356

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1101

965

Who will Sadie Sink Play in Spider Man Brand New Day

Jan 29, 2:28 AMJul 31, 5:00 PM

4231

OptionProbability

Jean Gray

Other

Felicia Hardy (Black Cat)

Mayday Parker

Gwen Stacy

Mary Jane Watson

Spider-Woman

63

15

7

4

4

4

4

Will nuclear waste be stored at Yucca Mountain in 2050?

Sep 13, 4:33 PMJan 16, 4:59 AM

45.77%chance

330

OptionVotes

YES

NO

102

78

Is Jose Luis Ricon FUNNIER than JOSCHA BACH, jose luis ricon, razib khan, @repligate/janus , alexey guzey, qiaochu yuan?

May 2, 4:30 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.19%chance

122

OptionVotes

YES

NO

122

82

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