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Prediction markets for Full House

Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2028?

Dec 20, 2:11 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

73%chance

5812545

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1155

761

Alcatraz transfer language passed by either chamber by end of 2026?

May 5, 1:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.86%chance

464026

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8952

4527

Will we have full self-driving cars before we have self-sustaining fusion?

Jan 7, 7:06 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

66.32%chance

492791

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1191

850

Will there be a billion-dollar company with only one person by 2040?

Jul 3, 1:46 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

34.98%chance

392423

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1363

733

Where will I live in October 2026?

Apr 24, 6:30 PMOct 1, 12:00 AM

61834

OptionProbability

Other

Menlo Park, CA

Berkeley, CA

Stanford, CA

San Francisco, CA

Oakland, CA

Warren's Gore, VT

San Jose, CA

24

16

15

15

12

11

4

4

Will a full-scale military conflict between the US/Israel and Iran resume by May 31, 2026?

May 5, 9:42 PMMay 30, 11:59 PM

51.16%chance

16910

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1023

977

LLM or AI written US Federal Laws before 2027

Feb 25, 1:51 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

29.47%chance

18867

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1029

972

Republican Senate seats after 2026 election? (45-55, linear)

Jan 11, 3:42 AMNov 3, 12:00 AM

46.88%chance

5638

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1065

940

Will Mike Johnson have a full term as Speaker of the House before another Republican becomes Speaker?

Nov 5, 7:46 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

59%chance

17352

OptionVotes

NO

YES

85

58

Will even 500m of Saudi Arabia's "The Line" project be built until 2030?

May 18, 11:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.81%chance

10268

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1117

905

Will a major art auction house have sold AI-generated artwork that is later revealed to contain a hidden message? (2028)

May 19, 3:32 PMJan 1, 6:29 AM

33.88%chance

9124

OptionVotes

YES

NO

262

136

[FUTARCHY MARRIAGE] who would I have the highest impact kids with?

Oct 16, 8:37 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

00

OptionProbability

Other

50

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