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Prediction markets for Full House

Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2028?

Dec 20, 2:11 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

80.29%chance

5812856

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1066

1057

How long will Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's marriage last?

Aug 26, 5:57 PMAug 26, 5:49 PM

194683

OptionProbability

6-10 years

1 day to 2 years

11-20 years

3-5 years

21-30 years

Over 30 years

They never get married

19

18

16

14

14

14

5

Alcatraz transfer language passed by either chamber by end of 2026?

May 5, 1:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.96%chance

474052

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8923

4537

Will we have full self-driving cars before we have self-sustaining fusion?

Jan 7, 7:06 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

66.32%chance

492791

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1191

850

Clarity Act will pass in September

Jun 4, 1:00 AMSep 30, 11:59 PM

33.64%chance

42768

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1404

712

Will there be a billion-dollar company with only one person by 2040?

Jul 3, 1:46 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

38%chance

432617

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1277

783

Will even 500m of Saudi Arabia's "The Line" project be built until 2030?

May 18, 11:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.54%chance

121326

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2145

543

LLM or AI written US Federal Laws before 2027

Feb 25, 1:51 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

26.83%chance

18967

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1127

934

Republican Senate seats after 2026 election? (45-55, linear)

Jan 11, 3:42 AMNov 3, 12:00 AM

45.88%chance

6817

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1086

921

Will a Midjourney Scanner be available for paid public full-body scans in the US by Dec 31, 2027?

Jun 18, 3:36 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

8.53%chance

8695

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1561

1280

Will Mike Johnson have a full term as Speaker of the House before another Republican becomes Speaker?

Nov 5, 7:46 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

70.82%chance

18377

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

44

Will there be a greater than 25% chance that America losses democracy status under Trump at midterm elections?

Dec 7, 6:41 AMNov 2, 6:38 AM

50.26%chance

10165

OptionVotes

YES

NO

604

596

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