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Prediction markets for Full House

Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2028?

Dec 20, 2:11 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

79.52%chance

6113074

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1076

1017

Alcatraz transfer language passed by either chamber by end of 2026?

May 5, 1:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.37%chance

509332

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13170

3469

Clarity Act will pass in September

Jun 4, 1:00 AMSep 30, 11:59 PM

20.58%chance

134492

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1965

509

Will we have full self-driving cars before we have self-sustaining fusion?

Jan 7, 7:06 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

66.32%chance

492791

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1191

850

Will there be a billion-dollar company with only one person by 2040?

Jul 3, 1:46 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

38%chance

432617

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1277

783

What will Adjacent’s RED political index value be at the 2026 midterms?

Jun 23, 9:38 PMJun 24, 3:59 AM

62194

OptionProbability

90 - 98

Below 90

99 - 107

108 - 116

117 - 125

126 - 135

Above 135

31

28

23

9

4

3

2

What will Adjacent’s BLUE political index value be at the 2026 midterms?

Jun 23, 9:42 PMJun 24, 3:59 AM

71610

OptionProbability

99 - 107

108 - 116

90 - 98

117 - 125

126 - 135

Above 135

Below 90

28

25

17

12

7

6

4

Will even 500m of Saudi Arabia's "The Line" project be built until 2030?

May 18, 11:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.54%chance

121326

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2145

543

LLM or AI written US Federal Laws before 2027

Feb 25, 1:51 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

26.83%chance

18967

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1127

934

Republican Senate seats after 2026 election? (45-55, linear)

Jan 11, 3:42 AMNov 3, 12:00 AM

47.83%chance

6882

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1045

958

Will Mike Johnson have a full term as Speaker of the House before another Republican becomes Speaker?

Nov 5, 7:46 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

70.82%chance

18377

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

44

In 2032, how much will a median house in England cost as a multiple of median yearly full-time earnings?

Jul 17, 3:40 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1130

OptionProbability

Above 2

Above 4

Above 5

Above 6

Above 7

Above 8

Above 10

87

83

76

66

50

34

24

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