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Prediction markets for Full House

If Dems win the House or Senate in 2026, will officials try to block a working Democratic majority from being seated?

Sep 23, 6:08 AMJan 3, 11:59 PM

15.73%chance

16740693

OptionVotes

YES

NO

24642

5236

Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2028?

Dec 20, 2:11 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

85%chance

6213630

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1379

999

Alcatraz transfer language passed by either chamber by end of 2026?

May 5, 1:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.19%chance

5010868

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14635

3225

LLM or AI written US Federal Laws before 2027

Feb 25, 1:51 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

11.79%chance

243873

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2269

685

Will we have full self-driving cars before we have self-sustaining fusion?

Jan 7, 7:06 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

66.32%chance

492791

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1191

850

Will there be a billion-dollar company with only one person by 2040?

Jul 3, 1:46 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

41.59%chance

432678

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1185

844

Will even 500m of Saudi Arabia's "The Line" project be built until 2030?

May 18, 11:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.24%chance

131830

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2086

555

Will a Midjourney Scanner be available for paid public full-body scans in the US by Dec 31, 2027?

Jun 18, 3:36 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

8.53%chance

8695

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1561

1280

If Republicans keep the House in 2026, will there be a federal government shutdown in 2027?

Oct 7, 2:05 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.23%chance

3560

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1509

838

Will Mike Johnson have a full term as Speaker of the House before another Republican becomes Speaker?

Nov 5, 7:46 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

82.94%chance

19422

OptionVotes

NO

YES

155

31

If Democrats win the House in 2026, will there be a federal government shutdown in 2027?

Oct 7, 2:05 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.35%chance

3210

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1210

856

In 2032, how much will a median house in England cost as a multiple of median yearly full-time earnings?

Jul 17, 3:40 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1130

OptionProbability

Above 2

Above 4

Above 5

Above 6

Above 7

Above 8

Above 10

87

83

76

66

50

34

24

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