Function Calling News

Who will be the next British Prime Minister following a General Election?

Sep 29, 9:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

155166105

OptionProbability

Andy Burnham

Kemi Badenoch

Nigel Farage

Other

Zack Polanski

Robert Jenrick

Angela Rayner

Rupert Lowe

Jeremy Clarkson

James Cleverly

Richard Tice

Ed Davey

Boris Johnson

Ed Miliband

Wes Streeting

Alistair Carns

Keir Starmer

Jeremy Corbyn

Idris Elba

Louise Haigh

Lawrence Newport

Rachel Reeves

Danny Kruger

Matt Clifford

In what specific year will we hit AGI?

Mar 12, 9:42 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9521022

OptionProbability

2027

2028

2035+

2029

2030

2031

2032

2026

2033

2034

2025

When will I first be able to read a book while driving a private car?

Mar 21, 9:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

275480

OptionProbability

2027

2028

2029

2031+

2030

2026

2025

What method of storing my passwords should I use?

Apr 18, 4:12 AMJan 2, 5:03 AM

24891

OptionProbability

If I use a password manager, will I judge it to have been the better choice in 3 years?

If I use a password generator, will I judge it to have been the better choice in 3 years?

If I use a password scheme, will I judge it to have been the better choice in 3 years?

Will Emmanuel Macron invoke Article 16 before the end of his mandate?

Aug 24, 7:17 PMApr 10, 9:59 PM

7.35%chance

8580

OptionVotes

YES

355

Will the FDA publicly accept a multi-condition geroscience endpoint as sufficient to establish efficacy before 2036?

Jul 14, 11:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

57.59%chance

7575

OptionVotes

YES

6240

5801

Will an AI exec equate AGI to religious end-times in 2026?

Mar 21, 11:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.69%chance

18495

OptionVotes

YES

106

Will the FDA publicly accept a multi-condition geroscience endpoint as sufficient to establish efficacy before 2041?

Jul 14, 11:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61.17%chance

2255

OptionVotes

YES

1255

797

Will the site (once) called Twitter still be functioning when Elon dies?

Aug 24, 4:37 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

85.56%chance

6252

OptionVotes

YES

243

Will Hampshire College be open in 2028?

May 11, 5:03 PMSep 20, 10:59 PM

9.28%chance

6234

OptionVotes

YES

313

When there will be OS which able to run proof-carrying programs?

Jan 16, 9:24 PMJan 1, 7:59 PM

2132

OptionProbability

[2028-2030)

≥2030

[2026,2028)

<2026

Will the FDA publicly accept a multi-condition geroscience endpoint as sufficient to establish efficacy before 2031?

Jul 14, 11:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.44%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

1050

952

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Who will be the next British Prime Minister following a General Election?

In what specific year will we hit AGI?

When will I first be able to read a book while driving a private car?

What method of storing my passwords should I use?

Will Emmanuel Macron invoke Article 16 before the end of his mandate?

Will the FDA publicly accept a multi-condition geroscience endpoint as sufficient to establish efficacy before 2036?

Will an AI exec equate AGI to religious end-times in 2026?

Will the FDA publicly accept a multi-condition geroscience endpoint as sufficient to establish efficacy before 2041?

Will the site (once) called Twitter still be functioning when Elon dies?

Will Hampshire College be open in 2028?

When there will be OS which able to run proof-carrying programs?

Will the FDA publicly accept a multi-condition geroscience endpoint as sufficient to establish efficacy before 2031?

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