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Fund of Funds News

Will MIRI raise its 2025 funding goal of $6M?

Dec 2, 10:55 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

14.69%chance

6710519

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2728

1077

Will GiveWell fund Mass distribution of azithromycin to reduce child mortality by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 4:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.08%chance

188507

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6378

3288

Will lighthaven be shut down in 2025 due to lack of funds?

Nov 5, 1:54 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

2.45%chance

156720

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6310

158

Will there be a US Sovereign Wealth Fund established by the federal government by the end of the 119th congress?

Nov 21, 6:49 PMJan 7, 4:59 AM

8.78%chance

132441

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2067

52

Across, 2025 a majority of EA funding rounds will have public forecasting questions/prediction markets to bet on whether grants will be given or whether grant goals will be met.

Sep 22, 6:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.74%chance

201289

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1647

825

What percentage of FTX Future Fund grant funds will ultimately be returned/clawed back?

Feb 9, 2:56 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

26.04%chance

12728

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1258

854

Will any lawmakers use the threat of AI to justify funding space exploration before 2026?

Apr 22, 5:12 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.08%chance

17700

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1195

918

Will "Store Now Decrypt Later" attacks be responsible for the theft of >$1B of funds by 2030?

Mar 20, 10:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.82%chance

11682

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1566

812

Will the majority of developed nations prioritize funding for longevity research over space exploration by 2035?

Jun 29, 5:49 AMJul 7, 4:59 AM

46.25%chance

10344

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1078

928

Before 2037, will a major presidential candidate make cutting off funding to Israel part of their platform?

Sep 28, 4:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.47%chance

10309

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1211

826

Will any fund eclipse the size of the SoftBank Vision Fund by 2030?

Dec 9, 8:05 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

63.16%chance

14134

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1035

972

Will >50% of total allocated funding to clean energy provisions of the Inflation Reduction Act be gutted by 2028?

Jul 16, 5:31 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

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