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Top stories

Germany, France, Spain Set October Talks to Salvage €100 Billion FCAS Jet

Germany, France, Spain Set October Talks to Salvage €100 Billion FCAS Jet

Authors

13

11 months ago

Prediction markets for Future Combat Air System

Will Ukraine bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jul 1, 5:10 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

27%chance

16605

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1271

873

Will the US bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?

Jun 3, 6:24 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

44.24%chance

9321

OptionVotes

YES

NO

264

224

Will France bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Jun 30, 8:40 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

51.33%chance

253

OptionVotes

YES

NO

75

62

Will Japan bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jun 3, 6:36 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

72.94%chance

350

OptionVotes

NO

YES

140

61

Will Sweden bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jun 30, 8:36 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

29%chance

337

OptionVotes

YES

NO

120

71

Will Poland bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jul 1, 5:06 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

44.16%chance

430

OptionVotes

YES

NO

118

103

Will Russia bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?

Jun 6, 1:54 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

31.03%chance

326

OptionVotes

YES

NO

96

53

Will Poland bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Jul 1, 5:05 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

59.82%chance

322

OptionVotes

NO

YES

81

61

Will France bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jun 30, 8:40 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

45.25%chance

217

OptionVotes

YES

NO

55

45

Will Italy bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jun 30, 8:21 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

46.91%chance

317

OptionVotes

YES

NO

91

88

Will Israel bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Jun 13, 10:12 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

59.02%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

80

62

Will Russia bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jun 6, 1:55 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

53.86%chance

26

OptionVotes

NO

YES

74

66

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