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Top stories

Germany, France, Spain Set October Talks to Salvage €100 Billion FCAS Jet

Germany, France, Spain Set October Talks to Salvage €100 Billion FCAS Jet

Authors

13

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Future Combat Air System

Will Ukraine bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jul 1, 5:10 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

28.11%chance

13479

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1226

890

Will Canada bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Jul 2, 7:00 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

64.43%chance

7139

OptionVotes

NO

YES

158

110

Will the UK bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Jun 30, 8:17 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

75.82%chance

475

OptionVotes

NO

YES

173

76

Will China bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?

Jun 3, 6:31 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

65.57%chance

670

OptionVotes

NO

YES

113

74

Will Turkey bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jun 14, 7:41 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

20.37%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

99

25

Will Japan bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jun 3, 6:36 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

72.94%chance

350

OptionVotes

NO

YES

140

61

Will Greece bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jul 1, 8:00 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

29%chance

444

OptionVotes

YES

NO

136

93

Will Sweden bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jun 30, 8:36 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

29%chance

337

OptionVotes

YES

NO

120

71

Will Poland bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jul 1, 5:06 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

44.16%chance

430

OptionVotes

YES

NO

118

103

Will France bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jun 30, 8:40 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

45.25%chance

217

OptionVotes

YES

NO

55

45

Will Israel bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Jun 13, 10:12 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

59.02%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

80

62

Will Singapore bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Jun 5, 7:24 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

59.02%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

80

62

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