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Top stories

Xiaomi’s $35,360 YU7 Electric SUV Secures 300,000 Pre-Orders, Boosts Shares 8%, Faces Delivery Delays, Challenges Tesla and Xpeng

Xiaomi’s $35,360 YU7 Electric SUV Secures 300,000 Pre-Orders, Boosts Shares 8%, Faces Delivery Delays, Challenges Tesla and Xpeng

Authors

41

1 month ago

Prediction markets for G7

Will messaging apps with end-to-end encryption (like Signal) be banned in a majority of G7 nations by the end of 2030?

Jun 23, 7:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

13.97%chance

5212270

OptionVotes

YES

NO

19342

7418

Will the UK face the "longest recession in G7"?

Jan 6, 10:49 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

85.29%chance

111746

OptionVotes

NO

YES

392

44

What is the next speculative bubble to happen no longer than December 2029?

Jul 29, 9:45 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

13853

OptionProbability

Other bubble

NO BUBBLE

Virtual reality/artificial reality

U.S. Real Estate

Space exploration

Crypto

Nuclear energy

Superconductors

EVs and batteries

Europe

Oil and fossil fuels

Other G7 Real Estate

Everything bubble

India

Green commodities (copper, lithium, nickel...)

Mexico

China

Ukraine

Russia

Biotech

Weight-loss drugs

Self-driving cars

United States

Japan

South America

Southeast Asia

Carbon capture

Emerging market Real Estate

Defense

39

13

6

4

3

3

3

2

2

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

Will universal basic income be implemented nationwide in a G7 country by the end of 2028?

Oct 29, 5:55 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7.17%chance

12562

OptionVotes

YES

NO

586

82

How many G7 countries recognize Palestine by end of 2026?

Jul 29, 11:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15548

Will generative artificial intelligence be banned in at least one G7 country by the end of 2026?

Jul 29, 2:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15%chance

12407

OptionVotes

YES

NO

238

42

Will a G7 country have greater than 50% of new car sales being battery powered electric vehicles by the end of 2026?

Nov 10, 3:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.69%chance

9310

OptionVotes

YES

NO

245

82

Will the Group of Seven (G7) add a country before 2030?

May 21, 7:16 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

53.44%chance

6300

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1071

933

At least 1 G7 Country will have been under a fascist authoritarian regime for at least 6 months by 2035

Jun 11, 10:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.11%chance

10238

OptionVotes

YES

NO

248

230

[Longbets] >100 person protest in the G7 against switching off a program on the grounds that it is sentient by 2035?

Nov 22, 4:27 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

64.39%chance

5115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

655

563

Will G7 countries eliminate plastic pollution by 2040?

Apr 21, 4:29 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

53.17%chance

5111

OptionVotes

NO

YES

108

64

G7 country manages three years of 6% growth before general-purpose robots

May 19, 12:18 PMJan 19, 1:18 PM

25%chance

5108

OptionVotes

YES

NO

173

58

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