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Prediction markets for Gain

Will there be any tax on unrealized capital gains in the USA before eoy2028?

Aug 20, 7:23 PMDec 31, 1:29 PM

12.97%chance

334499

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2591

386

Can my 16 year old son gain ten lbs. in three months?

Sep 11, 11:45 PMDec 11, 11:39 PM

26.25%chance

193048

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1676

597

Will Sam Altman leverage OpenAI's success to substantial personal gain?

Sep 17, 6:10 AMDec 19, 4:59 AM

84.33%chance

272338

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2215

512

Will HTMX gain significant traction before the end of 2025?

Oct 8, 11:22 AMJan 3, 2:29 AM

36.08%chance

231742

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1284

784

Will 2 more parties claim to have achieved net gains in fusion energy by 2026?

Dec 14, 2:03 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

9.67%chance

321736

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2235

76

Fortune 500 company attributes >10% productivity gains to AI by Q2 2026?

Aug 8, 12:43 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

61.38%chance

9626

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1261

793

Will there be reports of an AI playing a significant role in biological gain-of-function research before 2030?

Jun 25, 1:46 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

79.14%chance

13569

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1187

932

Roadtrip: will I be gainfully employed in one year?

Aug 2, 7:59 PMAug 1, 7:58 PM

46.54%chance

6333

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1072

933

Will Martinique gain independence before 2030?

Jul 8, 4:59 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

42.07%chance

6301

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1173

852

SPY reaches 774 (20% gain from 645) before 516 (20% loss from 645)

Aug 14, 4:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.65%chance

4294

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1048

954

Net territory gained by Russia in 2025 (in square kilometres)

Nov 3, 11:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

1200

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1000

1000

Will at least 2 of Myself, Nathan young and Stefan Schubert be gainfully employed on Jan 1st 2035?

Jan 20, 7:20 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

51.26%chance

275

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1026

975

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