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Prediction markets for Gain

Will there be any tax on unrealized capital gains in the USA before eoy2028?

Aug 20, 7:23 PMDec 31, 1:29 PM

11.75%chance

334649

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2741

365

Will Sam Altman leverage OpenAI's success to substantial personal gain?

Sep 17, 6:10 AMDec 19, 4:59 AM

84.54%chance

282358

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2235

508

SPY reaches 774 (20% gain from 645) before 516 (20% loss from 645)

Aug 14, 4:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

77.07%chance

102237

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1833

545

Fortune 500 company attributes >10% productivity gains to AI by Q2 2026?

Aug 8, 12:43 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

81.07%chance

181600

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2069

483

Roadtrip: will I be gainfully employed in one year?

Aug 2, 7:59 PMAug 1, 7:58 PM

33%chance

81122

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1425

702

Will Unreal Engine gain official WebGPU export support before Jan 1st 2027?

Jul 2, 7:12 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

51.71%chance

15924

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1184

725

Will Russia gain more territory than it loses in June 2026?

Jun 4, 5:19 AMJul 6, 11:59 PM

52%chance

22883

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1214

747

Will the deadline for deferring capital gains using qualified opportunity zone funds be extended?

Aug 23, 12:31 AMSep 23, 3:59 AM

20.06%chance

2875

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1334

101

Will there be reports of an AI playing a significant role in biological gain-of-function research before 2030?

Jun 25, 1:46 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

79.14%chance

13569

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1187

932

Will the Rockstar games workers gain union recognition before the release of GTAVI?

Dec 15, 11:25 PMJun 22, 10:59 PM

37.28%chance

4331

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1297

771

Will Martinique gain independence before 2030?

Jul 8, 4:59 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

41.45%chance

7316

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1188

841

Will at least 2 of Myself, Nathan young and Stefan Schubert be gainfully employed on Jan 1st 2035?

Jan 20, 7:20 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

51.26%chance

275

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1026

975

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