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Top stories

Blue Jays Acquire Former Cy Young Winner Shane Bieber, Targeting Triple-A Start Amid 8-1 Loss to Royals

Blue Jays Acquire Former Cy Young Winner Shane Bieber, Targeting Triple-A Start Amid 8-1 Loss to Royals

Authors

3

21 hours ago

Prediction markets for Game

In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?

Feb 20, 10:45 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

60.5%chance

455372687

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3723

1531

By 2029, will an AI be able to generate Video Games comparable to ~2023 'AA' Mid Market Games?

Sep 30, 7:42 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

45.38%chance

11445195

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1203

609

In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly-selected computer games at human level, given the chance to train via self-play?

Feb 20, 10:42 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

76.39%chance

24534485

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2862

1836

Will a critically acclaimed video game feature AI-generated dialogue in 2025?

Dec 26, 4:21 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.1%chance

16927440

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2861

428

High Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2050?

Sep 27, 4:48 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

64.21%chance

7122484

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1010

960

By the end of 2025 will there be a mostly AI generated game with $1 million or more in revenue?

Dec 5, 9:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19%chance

15516604

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3865

859

When will an AI be able to speedrun a popular video game faster than the human WR?

May 27, 5:02 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

1011851

OptionProbability

2026

2030 or later

2027

2025

2028

2029

2024

20

20

17

15

13

13

1

When will AI-rendered video games have 1 million paid users?

Nov 20, 6:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

229157

OptionProbability

2030

2029

2028

2027

2026

2025

53

48

43

41

34

24

When will a new mainline Animal Crossing game be released on a Nintendo console?

Sep 11, 9:12 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

295329

OptionProbability

2027

2028

2026

2029

Not before 2030

2025 or earlier

35

23

15

14

9

4

Will a critically acclaimed video game feature AI-generated dialogue in 2026?

Dec 26, 6:45 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

46.58%chance

514899

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1325

518

In what state will the Kansas City Chiefs play a majority of their home games in the 2031 NFL season?

Jul 24, 2:54 AMJan 26, 5:59 AM

31771

OptionProbability

Missouri

Kansas

Other

70

28

2

Where will the Athletics MLB team play their home games in 2028?

Jun 22, 11:13 PMApr 1, 10:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Las Vegas (including Paradise)

Sacramento (including West Sacramento)

Somewhere within the San Francisco Bay Area

Somewhere else in California

Somewhere else outside California

20

20

20

20

20

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 1, 2025
Aug 1, 2025
MLB
Sports
Blue Jays Acquire Former Cy Young Winner Shane Bieber, Targeting Triple-A Start Amid 8-1 Loss to Royals
Authors
3
21 hours ago

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