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Twin Divers Mía and Lía Cueva Win Gold for Mexico in Asunción
Authors
10
7 months ago
Prediction markets for Games
In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?
Feb 20, 10:45 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
46%chance
547459947
OptionVotes
2969
2196
In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly-selected computer games at human level, given the chance to train via self-play?
Feb 20, 10:42 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
65.4%chance
25635779
OptionVotes
2187
1991
When will a new mainline Animal Crossing game be released on a Nintendo console?
Sep 11, 9:12 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM
3722421
OptionProbability
38
27
18
8
8
1
When will an AI be able to speedrun a popular video game faster than the human WR?
May 27, 5:02 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM
1418767
OptionProbability
25
20
19
16
16
4
1
OptionProbability
51
49
41
36
26
0
SOAI#5: A real-time generative video game becomes the year’s most-watched title on Twitch.
Oct 9, 11:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
4.81%chance
335935
OptionVotes
4447
225
Hunger Games with Teleoperated Robots, before 2028?
Oct 30, 3:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
15.84%chance
414917
OptionVotes
2305
434
In what state will the Kansas City Chiefs play a majority of their home games in the 2031 NFL season?
Jul 24, 2:54 AMJan 26, 5:59 AM
44553
OptionProbability
56
43
1
Will Mexico still host all of the planned FIFA World Cup games this year?
Feb 25, 3:58 AMJul 20, 10:59 PM
87.09%chance
544094
OptionVotes
10078
9989
Donald Trump's 'Patriot Games' Actually Happen in 2026?
Dec 19, 12:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
54.44%chance
151487
OptionVotes
2358
1619
The game awards 2026: Flute guy blows into >3 instruments
Dec 13, 4:15 AMDec 11, 4:15 AM
29.22%chance
759
OptionVotes
156
64
OptionProbability
20
20
20
20
20