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Prediction markets for Gas

If Trump becomes President, will gas prices stay under four dollars a gallon until the midterms?

Mar 2, 5:23 AMNov 2, 7:59 AM

9.56%chance

28566054

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2931

228

Will global greenhouse gas emissions in 2026 be lower than global greenhouse gas emissions in 2025?

Jun 2, 4:04 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.98%chance

5420240

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13385

6612

Will the switch from 100LL (leaded aviation gas) to 100UL (unleaded aviation gas) cause small airports to become a thing of the past due to a lack of sufficient revenue?

Nov 18, 8:32 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

77.35%chance

113705

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1046

973

What will the national average gas price be on May 1st?

Mar 13, 6:38 PMMay 2, 3:59 AM

92452

OptionProbability

$4.00 - $4.49

$3.50 - $3.99

$4.50 - $4.99

$3.00 - $3.49

$5.00 - $5.49

$5.50 - $5.99

$2.50 - $2.99

Above $6.00

$2.00 - $2.49

Below $2.00

31

23

13

9

6

5

4

4

3

2

Will sales of new gas-powered leaf blowers be banned in the United States by 2030?

Jun 28, 4:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

32.12%chance

141481

OptionVotes

YES

NO

994

993

Will the sale of new gas cars be illegal in Illinois in 2035?

Mar 22, 11:58 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.62%chance

151147

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1361

704

Will the sale of new gas cars be illegal in California in 2035?

Aug 26, 8:02 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

39.12%chance

261114

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1033

969

Will Germany have a shortage of natural Gas by the end of 2027?

Nov 8, 5:36 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

25.59%chance

171036

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1051

722

Will Hanoi ban gas powered bikes within Ring Roads 1 within one year?

Jul 15, 10:32 PMJul 15, 10:28 PM

49.66%chance

3661

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1007

993

Will the world reach peak natural gas production by 2035?

Feb 21, 8:58 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

53.53%chance

13638

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1081

913

Will the sale of new gas cars be illegal in Washington in 2035?

Aug 26, 8:04 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

43.48%chance

14183

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1005

993

Conditional on complete oil & gas sector destruction: would the iranian regime collapse within 5 years?

Jun 21, 8:56 PMJun 21, 8:54 PM

62.81%chance

585

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130

77

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