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Prediction markets for Gate

Will Larian Studios release another Baldur's Gate game by 2033?

Dec 28, 6:26 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

20.56%chance

302137

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1695

697

Will Bill Gates be cryopreserved?

Aug 28, 7:08 AMSep 5, 6:59 AM

8.8%chance

201814

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1578

904

Will any car drive itself from the Empire State Building to the Golden Gate Bridge before April 2028?

Mar 14, 10:02 PMApr 1, 7:00 AM

31.32%chance

351387

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1371

650

Will Bill Gates be alive through the end of 2040?

Jan 19, 8:30 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

65%chance

13524

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1130

635

Will Golden Gate Park charge for street parking by 2026-06-30?

Feb 24, 12:01 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

4521

OptionProbability

No metered parking happens before 2026-06-30

2026-01-01 to 2026-03-31

2026-04-01 to 2026-06-30

Before 2025-09-30

2025-10-01 to 2025-12-31

90

3

3

2

2

Will Bill Gates be alive through the end of 2035?

Jan 19, 8:30 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

81.48%chance

10468

OptionVotes

NO

YES

299

113

Will Bill Gates (Microsoft, philanthropy) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

May 11, 2:32 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.54%chance

8324

OptionVotes

YES

NO

494

120

Will Bill Gates be alive through the end of 2030?

Jan 19, 8:30 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

79.4%chance

13284

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1240

917

Will P. D. Mangan die before Bill Gates?

Jan 31, 4:14 PMJan 2, 2:59 AM

50.1%chance

8269

OptionVotes

NO

YES

137

116

Will a logic gate, exotic transistor, or circuit motif be named after Richard Ngo?

Apr 1, 10:16 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

28.16%chance

4109

OptionVotes

YES

NO

240

113

Will a logic gate, exotic transistor, or circuit motif be named after Michael Nielsen OR Adam marblestone?

Apr 1, 10:17 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

28.1%chance

480

OptionVotes

YES

NO

219

92

In which Quarter will open the first new part of Venice MarcoPolo Airport with Gates A?

Jul 31, 4:37 PMMar 30, 10:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

3/2025

4/2025

1/2026

Other

25

25

25

25

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