OptionProbability
Trial doesn't start until 2026
Juror names are not public record
The defense calls fewer witnesses than the prosecution
Law & Crime offers "Gavel-to-Gavel coverage"
Alternate juror is seated as a member of the Jury
Court TV offers "Gavel-to-Gavel coverage"
Jury is sequestered just during deliberations
Trial is televised
A motion for recusal is made
Brady evidence is withheld
Luigi Mangione changes counsel during trial
Jury sequestered for entire trial
Defendant held in contempt
Defense counsel sanctioned
DA sanctioned
The case will be heard as a bench trial
100
91
63
52
48
46
45
43
39
26
25
22
19
18
15
4
AUSA sanctioned
90
83
72
70
50
35
31
20
Donald Trump
JD Vance
Mike Johnson
Ted Cruz
Dave McCormick
Rick Scott
Josh Hawley
John Thune
John Cornyn
Rand Paul
Lindsey Graham