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Prediction markets for Gavin Newsom

Who will become the next governor of California after Gavin Newsom?

Jul 4, 12:46 AMJul 11, 8:59 PM

8459042

OptionProbability

Eric Swalwell

Matt Mahan

Tom Steyer

Katie Porter

Other

Antonio Villaraigosa

Steve Hilton

Xavier Becerra

Eleni Kounalakis

Toni Atkins

Tony Thurmond

Betty Yee

Rob Bonta

Rick Caruso

Kamala Harris

Ethan Agarwal

Alex Padilla

Jon Slavet

Jesse Perez

Michael L. Younger

Ian Calderon

36

25

10

7

4

3

3

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

Will Gavin Newsom be elected President in 2028?

Apr 16, 6:56 PMNov 6, 11:59 PM

19.21%chance

7743006

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1050

573

Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic party nominee for president in 2028?

Jan 15, 10:24 PMDec 22, 4:59 AM

26%chance

8335048

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1517

1377

Will Gavin Newsom be the nominee, and will he win?

Sep 18, 12:25 PMNov 5, 11:59 PM

6529311

OptionProbability

Is not nominee, doesn't win

Is nominee, does win

Is nominee, doesn't win

Is not nominee, does win

72

19

9

0

Will Gavin Newsom run for president in 2028?

Nov 28, 4:18 AMNov 21, 5:59 AM

92.46%chance

417273

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2902

680

Will Gavin Newsom run for President in the 2028 election?

Oct 22, 10:02 AMNov 9, 7:59 AM

93.05%chance

506879

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3107

666

Will Gavin Newsom ever become the President of the USA?

Oct 25, 4:00 PMNov 1, 10:59 PM

22.18%chance

444802

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1162

917

Will Gavin Newsom ever become the Democratic nominee for president?

Jan 19, 2:09 AMNov 1, 3:59 AM

35.01%chance

504798

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1060

957

Will Gavin Newsom be strongly anti-AI before March 2, 2028?

Dec 29, 9:03 PMMar 1, 11:59 PM

20.68%chance

122555

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1958

511

Will Gavin Newsom ever be elected President?

Oct 16, 3:01 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

21.66%chance

272224

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1070

957

Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. Presidency before 2033?

Nov 14, 3:04 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

18.31%chance

15606

OptionVotes

YES

NO

388

315

Will A New Accusation of Sexual Impropriety Be Made Against Gavin Newsom by the MSM before Nov 8 2028?

Dec 5, 3:27 PMNov 9, 6:59 AM

49.89%chance

352

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1002

998

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