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Prediction markets for Gavin Newsom

Who will become the next governor of California after Gavin Newsom?

Jul 4, 12:46 AMJul 11, 8:59 PM

9161359

OptionProbability

Eric Swalwell

Matt Mahan

Tom Steyer

Katie Porter

Steve Hilton

Other

Xavier Becerra

Antonio Villaraigosa

Eleni Kounalakis

Toni Atkins

Tony Thurmond

Betty Yee

Rob Bonta

Rick Caruso

Kamala Harris

Ethan Agarwal

Alex Padilla

Jon Slavet

Jesse Perez

Michael L. Younger

Ian Calderon

43

14

13

6

4

4

3

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

Will Gavin Newsom be elected President in 2028?

Apr 16, 6:56 PMNov 6, 11:59 PM

16.96%chance

8947975

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1032

656

Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic party nominee for president in 2028?

Jan 15, 10:24 PMDec 22, 4:59 AM

26.77%chance

9841331

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1531

1336

Will Gavin Newsom run for President in the 2028 election?

Oct 22, 10:02 AMNov 9, 7:59 AM

92.72%chance

6211092

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2994

674

Will Hasan Piker Interview Gavin Newsom in 2026?

Mar 5, 4:23 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

78.86%chance

226492

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1969

284

Will Gavin Newsom ever become the President of the USA?

Oct 25, 4:00 PMNov 1, 10:59 PM

22.26%chance

444803

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1158

918

Will Gavin Newsom ever become the Democratic nominee for president?

Jan 19, 2:09 AMNov 1, 3:59 AM

35.01%chance

504798

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1060

957

Will Gavin Newsom be strongly anti-AI before March 2, 2028?

Dec 29, 9:03 PMMar 1, 11:59 PM

20%chance

132932

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2000

500

Will Gavin Newsom ever be elected President?

Oct 16, 3:01 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

20.66%chance

272274

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1120

943

Will JD Vance and Gavin Newsom face each other in the 2028 Presidential Election

Feb 12, 8:01 PMNov 7, 11:59 PM

21.36%chance

141827

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1919

521

Gavin Newsom gets at least 45% of the popular vote in 2028 Presidential Election

Feb 12, 7:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22%chance

9709

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1024

908

Will A New Accusation of Sexual Impropriety Be Made Against Gavin Newsom by the MSM before Nov 8 2028?

Dec 5, 3:27 PMNov 9, 6:59 AM

49.89%chance

352

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1002

998

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