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Top stories

UK Bars Israeli Officials From London Defence Expo Over Gaza Offensive

UK Bars Israeli Officials From London Defence Expo Over Gaza Offensive

Authors

20

3 months ago

Over 200 Protesters Including Jewish Voice for Peace Occupy Senator Padilla’s Office, Demand End to U.S. Military Aid to Israel Amid Gaza Protests

Over 200 Protesters Including Jewish Voice for Peace Occupy Senator Padilla’s Office, Demand End to U.S. Military Aid to Israel Amid Gaza Protests

Authors

9

3 months ago

Turkey Halts Trade With Israel and Shuts Airspace to Israeli Planes

Turkey Halts Trade With Israel and Shuts Airspace to Israeli Planes

Authors

19

3 months ago

US Foreign Policy

Netanyahu Criticized Over Gaza Civilian Casualties Amid Israel’s Divided IDF, Protests, and Push for U.S. Role in Potential December Iran War

Authors

4

3 months ago

Canadian Photojournalist Valerie Zink Resigns from Reuters After 8 Years, Citing Betrayal Over 245 Gaza Journalists’ Killings

Authors

7

3 months ago

Saudi Arabia Urges End to Israeli Occupation, Colombia Recognizes Palestine and Joins Hague Group Efforts

Authors

3

3 months ago

Turkish First Lady Emine Erdogan Urges Melania Trump to Advocate for Gaza Children, Citing Malnutrition and Past Letter to Putin

Authors

18

3 months ago

Tyrovol Park Manager Charged After Denying Entry to 150 Israeli Children Aged 8-16 in Pyrénées-Orientales

Authors

13

4 months ago

Prediction markets for Gaza conflict

How many Gazans will starve to death by the end of 2025?

Mar 19, 7:11 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

139128429

OptionProbability

250+

1,000+

500+

2,000+

4,000+

8,000+

16,000+

<250

100

8

7

6

5

5

4

0

When will the 2023 Israel Hamas war end? (Longer)

May 3, 10:57 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

87114492

OptionProbability

Jul - Dec 2026

Other

Jul - Dec 2025

Jan - Jun 2026

Jan - Jun 2025

Jan - Jun 2024

Jul - Dec 2024

29

29

22

19

1

0

0

End of war Israel-Palestine before 2026

Jul 29, 6:48 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

6.94%chance

9067183

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3662

273

Will Lebanon be at war with Israel before the end of the Israel-Hamas Conflict?

Jan 29, 10:42 AMDec 29, 12:59 AM

16.7%chance

5310470

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2044

619

Will Israel be victorious in the current Gaza-Israel conflict? [According to Wikipedia]

Oct 10, 2:12 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

57.77%chance

389290

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1113

736

Will Indonesia open embassy in Israel before the end of 2025

Apr 11, 4:51 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

4.82%chance

246692

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4638

420

Has Israel used recordings of crying children or distressed women to lure Palestinians out of hiding?

Apr 18, 2:44 PMJul 1, 3:59 AM

14.42%chance

311958

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1455

838

In 2026, what will Wikipedia say was the result of the October 2023 Gaza−Israel conflict

Oct 7, 8:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

391708

OptionProbability

Other

"Israeli Victory" (or a coalition including Israel)

A wall of text ala https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iraq_War

"Inconclusive"

"______ treaty" ala https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Winter_War

"Uprising suppressed" ala https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Second_Intifada

"Hamas Victory" (or a coalition including Hamas)

35

30

25

5

3

1

0

Can Israel go a week without violating the ceasefire by killing Palestinians in Gaza in 2025?

Oct 18, 2:23 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

95.93%chance

19874

OptionVotes

NO

YES

486

21

Will China volunteer to send peacekeepers to secure post-conflict Gaza?

Jan 6, 4:07 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.4%chance

23628

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1110

960

What year will the Israel-Gaza conflict end?

Oct 20, 11:45 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13467

OptionProbability

2027

2026

Never/ongoing indefinitely

2028

2030

2029

2031 or later

Null

36

25

21

5

5

4

4

1

Which issues will Donald Trump propose or imply can be solved with tariffs?

Jan 25, 11:29 PMFeb 2, 10:59 PM

8251

OptionProbability

Immigration

Unemployment

High taxes

Budget deficit

US leadership in AI

Livings costs

Crime

Inflation

Housing costs

Healthcare

Gaza conflict

Ukraine conflict

100

93

90

90

82

80

78

67

31

28

25

24

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