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Prediction markets for GCP

Will Anthropic models still be hosted on at least one of AWS, GCP, or Azure at expiry

Feb 28, 12:08 AMAug 31, 10:59 PM

97.12%chance

2611302

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6176

198

Will either Gartner or IDC claim that by 2032, cloud spending quadrupled from 2022? (1,000 subsidy)

Jan 4, 6:31 PMMar 31, 2:59 AM

83%chance

91949

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2421

680

Will intersections where self-driving cars can ignore traffic signals exist in the US by end of 2030?

Jun 29, 6:09 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

11.97%chance

231149

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1747

843

Will global carbon emissions decrease in 2025 compared to 2024 levels?

Jan 2, 10:00 AMJun 30, 9:59 PM

25.69%chance

25991

OptionVotes

YES

NO

284

155

When will a cloud provider attribute an incident resolution to an autonomous AI agent

Feb 25, 4:35 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

2564

OptionProbability

>=2030

2027

2028

2029

2026

41

20

15

14

10

AI reduces public cloud spending by end of 2027?

Nov 6, 5:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.62%chance

6331

OptionVotes

YES

NO

170

59

Which Cloud Provider will have the next major outage?

Dec 6, 5:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7248

OptionProbability

AWS

Azure

Cloudflare

GCP

Oracle Cloud

87

6

3

2

2

A use case where a typical enterprise would need to have data in the cloud to fully enjoy the benefits of AI

Nov 29, 4:25 AM

00

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