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Prediction markets for Gemini Advanced

When will an AI-related event dominate the mainstream news cycle for at least three consecutive days?

Jan 21, 6:31 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

172420

OptionProbability

2027

2026

2030 and after. . . or we're all dead before the news comes out.

2028

2029

40

21

17

16

10

Will we see an open source LLM model better than Opus 4.5 before the end of 2026?

Jan 2, 6:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

85.24%chance

142281

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2403

416

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