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Gemini AI Pro News
Prediction markets for Gemini AI Pro
Prediction markets for Gemini AI Pro
Will an AI score over 80% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025
Nov 9, 1:06 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
13%
chance
112
115251
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1303
961
Google Gemini 3 Pro Release Date
Mar 25, 12:38 AM
Jun 30, 10:59 PM
22
4595
In what year will AI achieve a score of 85% or higher on the SimpleBench leaderboard?
Jul 6, 10:34 AM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
20
4326
On Dec 31, 2025, will a widely available AI model be able to write a sophisticated 2000 line program?
Dec 28, 2:47 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
71.5%
chance
23
3794
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1584
631
Best public AI model uses "We" in CoT by EOY 2025?
Jun 1, 7:38 PM
Dec 1, 11:59 PM
21.83%
chance
12
1345
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1892
528
[Carlini questions] Cost of a million output words in 2030 for an LLM that achieves at least current benchmark SOTA
Mar 24, 2:14 AM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
4
680
[Carlini questions] Cost of a million output words in 2027 for an LLM that achieves at least current benchmark SOTA
Mar 24, 2:14 AM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
2
575
Which AI gave the best response to the White Lotus meme?
Mar 19, 10:01 AM
45
0
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