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Prediction markets for Gemini Deep Research

Will humans create a SOTA AI model without Multi-Layer Perceptrons by 2029?

May 4, 6:39 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

39.35%chance

10362

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1064

954

How many academic publishers will publicly state that their referral traffic from Google/Google Scholar has decreased?

Jan 4, 11:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4335

OptionProbability

0 publishers

1-2 publishers

3-5 publishers

More than 5 publishers

50

22

15

13

Will I continue paying for ChatGPT through the summer?

Jun 3, 7:09 PMSep 1, 11:59 PM

79.18%chance

12194

OptionVotes

NO

YES

195

51

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