OptionProbability
Minimax M3 (or any Minimax model)
Kimi K3 (or any Kimi model)
Claude Mythos (or any variant)
Qwen 3.7 (or any Qwen model)
GLM-5.2 (or any GLM model)
Any Microsoft/MAI Model
Claude Sonnet 5
Any Grok Model
Any new Deepseek model
Gemini 3.x Flash
Gemini 3.x Flash-Lite
Meta Mango (or any Meta model)
TML-Large (or any Thinking Machines model)
GPT-5.x
Claude Haiku 4.6 (or 4.x variant)
Gemini 3.x Pro
Claude Sonnet 4.7 (or 4.x variant)
Claude Opus 4.9 (or 4.x variant)
Claude Opus 5
GPT-6
100
34
30
17
10
8
6
4
3
2
14h - 16h
12h - 14h
10h - 12h
16h - 18h
18h - 20h
20h - 22h
Other
6h - 8h
8h - 10h
<6h
27
25
7
5
OptionVotes
NO
YES
1235
19
20 - 24
30 - 34
25 - 29
Above 40
15 - 19
35 - 40
10 - 14
0 - 4
5 - 9
18
16
13
9
114
88