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Gemini language News
Prediction markets for Gemini language
Prediction markets for Gemini language
On Dec 31, 2025, will a widely available AI model be able to write a sophisticated 2000 line program?
Dec 28, 2:47 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
71.5%
chance
23
3794
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1584
631
2025 SOTA LLM releases cause Kokotajlo to increase AGI timeline estimate?
Apr 9, 4:48 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
33.14%
chance
14
159
Option
Votes
YES
NO
142
70
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